Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 12Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Diocesano |
|
Calamonte |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.48 |
3.75 |
5.9 |
|
 |
1.16 |
7.48 |
11.78 |
 Watch |
 |
1.49 |
3.75 |
6.1 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↓
(1.51) |
4.99 ↑
(3.9) |
7.93 ↑
(5.84) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Diocesano
69% | Draw
19% | Calamonte
12% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Diocesano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Diocesano's performance.Calamonte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (-21.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Diocesano that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calamonte than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Calamonte could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Diocesano - Calamonte Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Koke ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 69', 🟥,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Diocesano won 4.Diocesano has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Calamonte is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0). In this match, Diocesano is considered a favorite.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Diocesano won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:9. (average 2.6:1).Including home matches between the teams, Diocesano won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 2.8:0.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 | | | 09.03.25 | Diocesano - Calamonte | 3:0 | | 27.10.24 | Calamonte - Diocesano | 1:1 | | 07.04.24 | Calamonte - Diocesano | 1:4 | | 19.11.23 | Diocesano - Calamonte | 3:0 | | 10.04.22 | Calamonte - Diocesano | 1:3 | | 05.12.21 | Diocesano - Calamonte | 4:1 | | 01.03.20 | Calamonte - Diocesano | 3:3 |
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