Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 24

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday


	Diocesano		Cacereño

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.1	1.85
	3.5	2.8	2.1
	4.24	3.19	1.92
	4.05	3.25	1.88
	3.7	3.15	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↑ (2.88)	3.1 ↑ (2.7)	1.94 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diocesano
23.5%

Draw
29.4%

Cacereño
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

33.6%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

31.9%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diocesano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Diocesano's form might have worsened.

Cacereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cacereño's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Diocesano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cacereño, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Diocesano - Cacereño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Diocesano is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Cacereño is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cacereño will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Diocesano won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Diocesano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Diocesano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.02.23	Villanovense - Diocesano	0:0 ✺
19.02.23	Diocesano - Atlético Paso	1:1 ✺
12.02.23	Melilla - Diocesano	3:1
04.02.23	Diocesano - Navalcarnero	3:4 ✺
28.01.23	Alcorcón B - Diocesano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTLLL
- CP Cacereño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.02.23	Leganés B - Cacereño	0:1 ✺
19.02.23	Cacereño - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
12.02.23	Atlético Paso - Cacereño	2:0 ✺
05.02.23	Cacereño - Melilla	0:0 ✺
29.01.23	Navalcarnero - Cacereño	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
16.10.22	Cacereño - Diocesano	3:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
10.01.21	Diocesano - Cacereño	0:1
18.10.20	Cacereño - Diocesano	2:3
09.02.20	Diocesano - Cacereño	1:2
22.09.19	Cacereño - Diocesano	1:1

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