Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 25Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday
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Villanovense |
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Diocesano |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.52 |
3.65 |
5.35 |
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1.56 |
3.69 |
5.83 |
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1.55 |
3.74 |
5.77 |
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1.53 |
3.4 |
5.75 |
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1.51 |
3.64 |
6.09 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.53 ↓ (1.84) |
3.62 ↑ (3.25) |
5.76 ↑ (4) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Villanovense 59.2% | Draw 25.1% | Diocesano 15.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villanovense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villanovense's performance.Diocesano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Diocesano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (-13.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villanovense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (+8.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Diocesano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Villanovense - Diocesano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 26', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 39', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 45+2', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 58', 4 - 1, ⚽,
- 72', 5 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 15).Recent performances by Villanovense have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).Diocesano has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). In this match, Villanovense is considered a favorite.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Villanovense won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.3).Including home match between the teams, Villanovense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 8 | Villanovense | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;