The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Navalcarnero 44.4%
Draw 28%
Cacereño 27.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.5%
27.6%
24.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.1%
29.1%
23.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Cacereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Navalcarnero, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (-4%)
Navalcarnero - Cacereño Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Boudaoud I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 1 - 1, Perez J. V. ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
Cacereño is Qualified for Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Recent matches Navalcarnero is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Cacereño is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Navalcarnero could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Navalcarnero will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Navalcarnero won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2:8 (average 0.4:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Navalcarnero won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).