Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 20

Date: 4 February 2023, Saturday


	Diocesano		Navalcarnero

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.95	2.25
	3.2	3.1	2.28
	2.75	2.9	2.36
	3.28	2.84	2.38
	3.13	3.02	2.3
	3.05	2.95	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.88)	2.96 ↑ (2.75)	2.31 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diocesano
29.8%

Draw
30.8%

Navalcarnero
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

32.7%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

31%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diocesano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Navalcarnero, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Diocesano - Navalcarnero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Diocesano is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Navalcarnero is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Navalcarnero could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Navalcarnero have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Diocesano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Diocesano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.01.23	Alcorcón B - Diocesano	1:0 ✺
22.01.23	Diocesano - Cerdanyola del Vallès	0:1 ✺
15.01.23	Diocesano - Montijo	3:2 ✺
07.01.23	Coria - Diocesano	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
20.12.22	Diocesano - Getafe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLWLL
- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
29.01.23	Navalcarnero - Cacereño	1:0 ✺
22.01.23	Villanovense - Navalcarnero	1:0 ✺
15.01.23	Atlético Paso - Navalcarnero	2:1 ✺
08.01.23	Navalcarnero - Melilla	0:1 ✺
17.12.22	Leganés B - Navalcarnero	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
18.09.22	Navalcarnero - Diocesano	1:3

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