Match Info

ETHIOPIA: Premier League - Round 22

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Dire Dawa Stadium (Dire Dawa)


	Dire Dawa City		Shashemene Kenema

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.5	5
	1.62	3.58	5.12
	1.62	3.58	5.12
	1.65	3.43	5.44
	1.61	3.45	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.49)	3.51 ↓ (3.66)	5.22 ↓ (7.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dire Dawa City
56.5%

Draw
26%

Shashemene Kenema
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

25.3%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

24.9%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dire Dawa City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dire Dawa City's form might have worsened.

Shashemene Kenema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dire Dawa City than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dire Dawa City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shashemene Kenema than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shashemene Kenema, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Kassaye A. (G) 20. Abdul Latif M. 9. Ahmed E. (C) 18. Ame M. 12. Anjaw H. 4. Asebe A. 11. Damtew C. 23. Ganiyu I. 6. Legesse I. 7. Mussa M. 21. Petros A.	30. Saidi K. (G) 6. Burka W. 19. Desalegn G. 27. Dilbi H. 16. Eyob G. 2. Kassim A. 17. Mamuye G. (C) 15. Mulugeta Y. 7. Tiruneh A. 12. Wero A. 5. Woldegiorgis M.
Substitutes
28. Ashamo E. 2. Dagmawi A. 17. Dereje W. 15. Estifanos D. 8. Getachew S. 5. Hamu T. 24. Kedir A. 22. Meki A. 14. Sultan S. 10. Tadesse Y. 27. Teshome D. (G) 44. Zeray G.	10. Ali H. 21. Bedane R. 1. Jarso A. (G) 26. Kebede M. 4. Kedir I. 44. Mamo A. (G) 14. Menberu C. . Muluken T. 18. Muluwork S. 22. Nassir A. 8. Tesfaye G. 3. Yarfo Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+3', 1 - 0, Damtew C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Dire Dawa is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Shashemene Kenema has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Shashemene Kenema could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match Dire Dawa is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Dire Dawa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dire Dawa City
Ethiopian Premier League
11.04.24	Welayta Dicha - Dire Dawa City	1:1 ✺
05.04.24	Fasil Kenema - Dire Dawa City	1:2 ✺
31.03.24	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Dire Dawa City	1:1 ✺
15.03.24	Dire Dawa City - Hawassa City	1:3 ✺
10.03.24	Ethiopia Bunna - Dire Dawa City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 TWTLW
- Shashemene Kenema
Ethiopian Premier League
13.04.24	Wolkite Kenema - Shashemene Kenema	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Bahir Dar Kenema - Shashemene Kenema	1:0 ✺
31.03.24	Sidama Coffee - Shashemene Kenema	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Shashemene Kenema - Saint George	0:2 ✺
07.03.24	Hawassa City - Shashemene Kenema	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
10.02.24	Shashemene Kenema - Dire Dawa City	1:1

Dire Dawa City - Shashemene Kenema: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide