Match Info

Premier League - Round 32

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday


	Ethiopia Nigd Bank		Sheger Ketema

	1	X	2
	3.05	2.58	2.52
	3.33	2.48	2.72
	3.45	2.29	2.78	Watch
	3	2.6	2.4
	2.98	2.81	2.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.77)	2.55 ↓ (2.79)	2.57 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethiopia Nigd Bank
28.8%

Draw
35.7%

Sheger Ketema
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

33%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

34.5%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethiopia Nigd Bank has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Sheger Ketema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopia Nigd Bank than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ethiopia Nigd Bank, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheger Ketema than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Sheger Ketema Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sheger Ketema will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Gidey A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Adugna H. (Penalty Awarded),
54', 2 - 0, Daniel N. ⚽,
79', 2 - 1, Fikru B. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 12).

Ethiopia Nigd Bank is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sheger Ketema is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ethiopia Nigd Bank won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Sheger Ketema	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Ethiopian Premier League
11.05.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	2:1 ✺
05.05.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Saint George	2:0 ✺
30.04.26	Arba Minch - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Sidama Coffee	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWTLL
- Sheger Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League
10.05.26	Sheger Ketema - Sidama Coffee	1:0 ✺
04.05.26	Hawassa City - Sheger Ketema	1:1 ✺
29.04.26	Sheger Ketema - Welayta Dicha	0:0 ✺
20.04.26	Bahir Dar Kenema - Sheger Ketema	0:2 ✺
13.04.26	Sheger Ketema - Negele Arsi Ketema	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
04.01.26	Sheger Ketema - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:1

Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Sheger Ketema: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide