Match Info

Premier League - Round 34

Date: 29 May 2026, Friday


	Fasil Kenema		Sheger Ketema

	1	X	2
	3	2.52	2.58
	3.33	2.4	2.89
	3.54	2.11	3.02	Watch
	2.9	2.5	2.5
	3.22	2.43	2.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.57)	2.39 ↓ (2.81)	2.73 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fasil Kenema
28.5%

Draw
38.1%

Sheger Ketema
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

32.7%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

31.6%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fasil Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fasil Kenema's form might have worsened.

Sheger Ketema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fasil Kenema than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fasil Kenema, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheger Ketema than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Fasil Kenema - Sheger Ketema Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+1', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 14).

Fasil Kenema is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sheger Ketema has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fasil Kenema won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Fasil Kenema	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Sheger Ketema	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Fasil Kenema - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 35.78%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fasil Kenema FC
Ethiopian Premier League
20.05.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Fasil Kenema	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Fasil Kenema - Adama City	3:1 ✺
10.05.26	Ethio Electric - Fasil Kenema	3:1 ✺
06.05.26	Fasil Kenema - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Fasil Kenema	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLLT
- Sheger Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League
20.05.26	Sheger Ketema - Mekelle 70 Enderta	0:1 ✺
15.05.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Sheger Ketema	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Sheger Ketema - Sidama Coffee	1:0 ✺
04.05.26	Hawassa City - Sheger Ketema	1:1 ✺
29.04.26	Sheger Ketema - Welayta Dicha	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
16.01.26	Sheger Ketema - Fasil Kenema	0:0

Fasil Kenema - Sheger Ketema: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide