Match Info

Stars League - Round 38

Date: 1 June 2026, Monday


	Diyala		Duhok

	1	X	2
	3	3.05	2.2
	3.54	3.36	1.88
	3.08	3.37	2.12	Watch
	3.05	3.18	2.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.86)	3.24 ↑ (2.83)	2.1 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diyala
28.7%

Draw
28%

Duhok
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

32.3%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

32.5%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diyala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Duhok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Duhok's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diyala than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duhok than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Duhok, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Diyala - Duhok Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Duhok will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10).

Recent form of Diyala has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Duhok's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Diyala won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Diyala won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Duhok	9	2	6	1	14:11	3	12
11	Diyala	9	2	3	4	13:16	-3	9

Last Results with these Odds

Duhok - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 35.72%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diyala SC
Iraqi Premier League
27.05.26	Al-Karma - Diyala	1:0 ✺
19.05.26	Diyala - Amanat Baghdad	1:4 ✺
15.05.26	Diyala - Al-Shorta Baghdad	0:2 ✺
11.05.26	Zakho - Diyala	1:2 ✺
06.05.26	Al-Gharraf - Diyala	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLLWT
- Duhok
Iraqi Premier League
27.05.26	Duhok - Al-Kahraba	1:2 ✺
19.05.26	Al-Naft - Duhok	1:1 ✺
15.05.26	Al Mosul - Duhok	3:3 ✺
10.05.26	Duhok - Al-Qasim	2:1 ✺
05.05.26	Duhok - Naft Maysan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
17.01.26	Duhok - Diyala	1:0
01.06.25	Diyala - Duhok	2:1

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