Match Info

Stars League - Round 37

Date: 27 May 2026, Wednesday


	Al-Karma		Diyala

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.8	5.9
	1.43	4.09	5.89
	1.64	3.47	5.17	Watch
	1.44	3.7	6
	1.54	3.8	5.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.63)	3.77 ↑ (3.41)	5.77 ↑ (5.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Karma
60.3%

Draw
24%

Diyala
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

26.6%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

25.4%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Karma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Diyala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Karma than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diyala than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Al Karma - Diyala Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 1 - 0, Faisal A. ⚽,
87', Faisal A. 🟥,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 11).

Recent performances by Al-Karma have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Diyala has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Al-Karma is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al-Karma won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Al-Karma won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Karma	8	6	2	0	14:5	9	20
10	Diyala	8	2	3	3	13:14	-1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Karma SC
Iraqi Premier League
19.05.26	Al-Talaba - Al-Karma	1:1 ✺
14.05.26	Naft Maysan - Al-Karma	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Al-Karma - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	3:0 ✺
05.05.26	Al-Naft - Al-Karma	0:0 ✺
01.05.26	Al-Karma - Newroz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTWTL
- Diyala SC
Iraqi Premier League
19.05.26	Diyala - Amanat Baghdad	1:4 ✺
15.05.26	Diyala - Al-Shorta Baghdad	0:2 ✺
11.05.26	Zakho - Diyala	1:2 ✺
06.05.26	Al-Gharraf - Diyala	0:0 ✺
01.05.26	Diyala - Al-Talaba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
14.02.26	Diyala - Al-Karma	1:1
29.03.25	Al-Karma - Diyala	0:0
19.01.25	Diyala - Al-Karma	0:0

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