Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 27 July 2023, Thursday

Location: Tele2 Arena (Stockholm)

Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Switzerland	SRF


	Djurgården		Luzern

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.1
	2.15	3.45	3.2
	2.18	3.3	3.3
	2.29	3.26	3.06
	2.11	3.54	3.3
	2.2	3.7	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.27)	3.42 ↑ (3.35)	3.17 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Djurgården
43.2%

Draw
27.3%

Luzern
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

27.8%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

29.4%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Djurgården has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Luzern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Djurgården than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Luzern aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.4%	6.5%	16.1%

Djurgården - Luzern Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Djurgården will win (votes: 24 - 77.4%). Luzern will win (votes: 5 - 16.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Djurgården: 62.7% – 92.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Widell Zetterstrom J. (G) 2. Johansson P. 27. Une-Larsson J. 4. Lofgren J. 16. Kaib R. 13. Finndell H. 6. Schuller R. 7. Eriksson M. (C) 15. Fallenius O. 22. Qurbanly M. 9. Radetinac H.	1. Loretz P. (G) 2. Ottiger S. 30. Beka I. 46. Burch M. 13. Frydek M. 18. Beloko N. 10. Spadanuda K. 7. Meyer M. (C) 20. Dorn P. 11. Okou T. 99. Ademi K.
Substitutes
10. Asoro J. 11. Berg O. 21. Bergvall L. 45. Croon M. (G) 26. Dahl S. 29. Milleskog N. 17. Moros C. 14. Sabovic B. 18. Va 30. Vaiho T. (G) 23. Wikheim G.	21. Abubakar A. 14. Breedijk L. 44. Heller D. (G) 4. Jaquez L. 16. Kadak J. 33. Meyer L. 41. Rupp N. 5. Simani D. 22. Ulrich D. 90. Vasic V. (G) 27. Villiger L. 23. Willimann M.
Coaches
Bergstrand K.	Frick M.

Preview

1st leg.

Djurgården is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Luzern is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Djurgården will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Djurgårdens IF
Swedish Allsvenskan
22.07.23	Djurgården - Elfsborg	0:4 ✺
17.07.23	Djurgården - Malmö	2:0 ✺
08.07.23	Värnamo - Djurgården	1:2 ✺
02.07.23	Djurgården - Varbergs BoIS	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.06.23	Häcken - Djurgården	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWWWW
- FC Luzern
Swiss Super League
22.07.23	Winterthur - Luzern	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.23	Luzern - Excelsior	3:1 ✺
12.07.23	Luzern - Schaffhausen	3:0 ✺
08.07.23	Rheindorf Altach - Luzern	0:2 ✺
30.06.23	Luzern - Aarau	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWWWW

Upcoming Matches