Match Info

Super League - Round 8

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Swissporarena (Luzern)

Referee: Cibelli L. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 4


	Luzern		Sion

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	3	Watch
	2.2	3.4	3
	2.22	3.35	2.98
	2.52	3.48	2.86
	1.07	8.67	40.00	Watch
	2.26	3.46	2.98	Watch
	2.25	3.4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.06)	4.17 ↑ (3.6)	8.26 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Luzern
56.8%

Draw
28.7%

Sion
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

26.3%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

26.2%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luzern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luzern's performance.

Sion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luzern than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luzern that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sion than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Luzern - Sion Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Luzern will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Sion will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Luzern (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Loretz P. (G) 20. Dorn P. (C) 5. Knezevic S. 4. Bajrami A. 46. Freimann B. 73. Silva Ferreira L. M. 6. Abe T. 24. Owusu T. 11. Di Giusto M. 9. Grbic A. 27. Villiger L.	1. Racioppi A. (G) 14. Lavanchy N. 28. Hajrizi K. 17. Kronig J. 20. Hefti N. 88. Kabacalman A. (C) 5. Sow N. 7. Chouaref Y. 70. Kololli B. 39. Lukembila J. 33. Nivokazi R.
Substitutes
14. Ciganiks A. 22. Dantas R. 16. Kabwit O. 10. Karweina S. 2. Ottiger S. 7. Spadanuda K. 90. Vasic V. (G) 29. Winkler L. 39. Wyss S.	8. Baltazar 29. Berdayes T. 13. Boteli W. 11. Bouchlarhem T. 21. Chipperfield L. 25. Diack L. 6. Marquinhos Cipriano 77. Rrudhani D. 12. Ruberto F. (G)
Coaches
Frick M.	Tholot D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Freimann B. ⚽, Di Giusto M. (A),
7', Lavanchy N. 🟨,
23', 2 - 0, Sow N. (Own goal),
25', Nivokazi R. 🟨,
26', Hajrizi K. 🟨,
45+3', Grbic A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
49', 2 - 1, Kololli B. (Pen),
57', Villiger L. ↓, Kabwit O. ↑,
61', 3 - 1, Grbic A. ⚽, Dorn P. (A),
68', Kabacalman A. ↓, Baltazar ↑,
68', Kololli B. ↓, Rrudhani D. ↑,
68', Lukembila J. ↓, Bouchlarhem T. ↑,
72', Dorn P. 🟨,
74', Di Giusto M. ↓, Ottiger S. ↑,
75', Silva Ferreira L. M. 🟨,
77', Bouchlarhem T. 🟥,
79', Hajrizi K. ↓, Chipperfield L. ↑,
79', Nivokazi R. ↓, Boteli W. ↑,
80', 3 - 2, Boteli W. ⚽, Rrudhani D. (A),
86', Grbic A. ↓, Karweina S. ↑,
86', Silva Ferreira L. M. ↓, Winkler L. ↑,
90', 3 - 3, Chipperfield L. ⚽, Racioppi A. (A),
90+4', Kronig J. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luzern won 4.

Luzern is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sion's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sion may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Luzern has had a series of away games.

Luzern might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Luzern: Lofgren J. (Hernia) Von Moos J. (Injury) Zimmermann M. (Injury)

There will not play in Sion: Shala A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Luzern won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:22. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Luzern won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.5:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Luzern - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.89%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Luzern
Swiss Super League
28.09.25	Basel - Luzern	1:2 ✺
Swiss Cup
21.09.25	Bosna Neuchâtel - Luzern	0:6 ✺
Swiss Super League
14.09.25	Luzern - Young Boys	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Servette - Luzern	2:2 ✺
24.08.25	St. Gallen - Luzern	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 WWLTW
- FC Sion
Swiss Super League
28.09.25	Sion - Lausanne-Sport	0:0 ✺
17.09.25	Sion - Servette	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Winterthur - Sion	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
06.09.25	Zenit - Sion	5:3 ✺
Swiss Super League
30.08.25	Sion - Basel	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Super League
23.02.25	Luzern - Sion	2:1
10.11.24	Sion - Luzern	4:2
03.08.24	Luzern - Sion	1:0
Club Friendly
22.03.24	Luzern - Sion	2:1
Swiss Super League
25.05.23	Sion - Luzern	1:2
02.04.23	Luzern - Sion	1:2
15.10.22	Sion - Luzern	2:0

Upcoming Matches