The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Winterthur 27.2%
Draw 21.9%
Luzern 50.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
15.3%
17.7%
67%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.4%
17.7%
66.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Winterthur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Winterthur's performance.
Luzern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luzern might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winterthur than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Winterthur that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luzern than the current prediction. (+16%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luzern could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Winterthur - Luzern Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
75. Spagnoli A. (G) 27. Rohner F. 33. Citherlet T. 16. Arnold R. (C) 4. Camara S. 44. Cueni S. 7. Zuffi L. 19. Odin Y. 8. Golliard T. 68. Beyer B. 37. Maluvunu E.
30. Letica K. (G) 20. Dorn P. (C) 13. Freimann B. H. 46. Freimann B. 14. Ciganiks A. 10. Silva L. 80. Zimmermann M. 6. Bertone L. 11. Di Giusto M. 18. Bongeli F. 19. Mikolajewski D.
Substitutes
9. Buess R. 18. Diaby S. 6. Essiam E. 45. Jankewitz A. 11. Kehrer E. 1. Kuster M. (G) 21. Ottiger S. 22. Turkes A.
22. Dantas Fernandes R. 16. Kabwit O. 5. Knezevic S. 21. Luthi L. 7. Oehlers A. 24. Owusu T. 1. Simoni S. (G) 15. Toggenburger N. 29. Winkler L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Ciganiks A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Dorn P. 🟨,
62', Silva L. ↓, Kabwit O. ↑,
67', Beyer B. 🟨,
69', Zuffi L. ↓, Marchesano A. ↑,
69', Maluvunu E. ↓, Kehrer E. ↑,
74', Freimann B. H. 🟨,
79', Freimann B. 🟨,
82', Bongeli F. ↓, Toggenburger N. ↑,
82', Zimmermann M. ↓, Winkler L. ↑,
83', Beyer B. ↓, Buess R. ↑,
84', Rohner F. ↓, Ottiger S. ↑,
84', Buess R. 🟨,
84', Di Giusto M. 🟨,
90+2', 0 - 1, Dorn P. ⚽,
90+3', Camara S. ↓, Turkes A. ↑,
90+4', Mikolajewski D. ↓, Owusu T. ↑,
90+6', Kabwit O. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 2.
Winterthur has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Luzern is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Winterthur could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Luzern holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Winterthur has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:44 (averaging 1.4:2.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Winterthur against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 9:21 goals (averaging 1.1:2.6 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Winterthur - the odds 6.02 are the expected chance of winning is 15.31%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Switzerland
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Spagnoli A. (G) 
Cueni S. 
Beyer B. 
Letica K. (G) 
Dorn P. (C) 
Ciganiks A. 
Silva L. 
Bongeli F. 
Mikolajewski D. 
Diaby S. 
Essiam E. 
Kuster M. (G) 
Turkes A. 
Oehlers A. 
Simoni S. (G) 
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