Match Info

Date: 27 October 2022, Thursday

Location: Kosicka futbalova arena (Košice)

Referee: Nobre A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Dnipro-1		Apollon Limassol

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	3.4
	2.1	3.4	3.3
	2.1	3.55	3.4
	2.05	3.55	3.35
	2.17	3.6	3.38
	2.09	3.46	3.3
	2.16	3.55	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.94)	3.52 ↑ (3.48)	3.35 ↓ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dnipro-1
44.9%

Draw
26.9%

Apollon Limassol
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

27%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

26.7%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dnipro-1 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Apollon Limassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dnipro-1 than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Apollon Limassol than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	14.3%	21.4%

Dnipro 1 - Apollon Limassol Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Dnipro-1 will win (votes: 27 - 64.3%). Apollon Limassol will win (votes: 9 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dnipro-1: 49.8% – 78.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Dnipro-1 has currently - 7, has a small chance of 1st (15%), has a good chance of 2nd (69%), has a small chance of 3rd (15%), has a good chance of knockout phase (85%), has a chance of round of 16 (47%), has a chance of qtrs (21%), has a small chance of semis (9%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Apollon Limassol has currently - 4, has a very small chance of 1st (<1%), has a small chance of 2nd (15%), has a good chance of 3rd (70%), has a chance of knockout phase (16%), has a small chance of round of 16 (6%), has a very small chance of qtrs (2%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 50, very big importance 100, big match rating 75. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Dnipro-1 in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Apollon Limassol is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dnipro-1 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Dnipro-1 will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Dnipro-1: Blanco D. (Injury) Gromov A. (Injury) Luchkevych V. (Injury) Purita E. (Injury)

There will not play in Apollon Limassol: Mavrias Ch. (Injury) Roberge V. (Injury)

There are questionable in Apollon Limassol: Peybernes M. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Dnipro-1 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dnipro-1
Ukrainian Premier League
23.10.22	Metalist Kharkiv - Dnipro-1	0:1 ✺
19.10.22	Dnipro-1 - Inhulets	2:2 ✺
16.10.22	Rukh Lviv - Dnipro-1	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.10.22	Vaduz - Dnipro-1	1:2 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
09.10.22	Dnipro-1 - Zorya Luhansk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTWWW
- Apollon Limassol
Cypriot First Division
21.10.22	Olympiacos Nicosia - Apollon Limassol	1:1 ✺
17.10.22	Apollon Limassol - Aris Limassol	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.10.22	Apollon Limassol - AZ Alkmaar	1:0 ✺
Cypriot First Division
10.10.22	Anorthosis - Apollon Limassol	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.10.22	AZ Alkmaar - Apollon Limassol	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
15.09.22	Apollon Limassol - Dnipro-1	1:3

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