Match Info

Date: 13 October 2022, Thursday

Location: Tsirion Stadium (Limassol)

Referee: Krogh M. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Netherlands	ESPN
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Apollon Limassol		AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.6	1.83
	4.1	3.5	1.82
	4.5	3.6	1.82
	4.1	3.55	1.84
	4.42	3.59	1.88
	4.3	3.72	1.76
	4.3	3.75	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.29 ↑ (3.66)	3.62 ↑ (3.43)	1.83 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Apollon Limassol
22%

Draw
26.2%

AZ Alkmaar
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

27.3%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

26.4%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Apollon Limassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Apollon Limassol than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.3%	11.5%	71.2%

Apollon Limassol - AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Apollon Limassol will win (votes: 9 - 17.3%). AZ will win (votes: 37 - 71.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 11.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 58.9% – 83.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Apollon Limassol has currently - 1, has a very small chance of 1st (<1%), has a small chance of 2nd (13%), has a good chance of 3rd (54%), has a small chance of knockout phase (14%), has a small chance of round of 16 (6%), has a very small chance of qtrs (2%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

AZ has currently - 9, has a good chance of 1st (93%), has a small chance of 2nd (7%), has a very small chance of 3rd (<1%), has a very good chance of knockout phase (>99%), has a very good chance of round of 16 (97%), has a good chance of qtrs (60%), has a chance of semis (32%), has a chance of final (16%), has a small chance of win league (8%).

This event has quality 54, small importance 22, match rating 38. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Apollon Limassol is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

AZ in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

AZ could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match AZ is a favorite.

There will not play in Apollon Limassol: Aleesami H. (Injury) Ba E. (Injury) Malekkidis G. (Injury)

There will not play in AZ: Evjen H. (Ankle Injury) Martins Indi B. (Muscle Injury) Pavlidis V. (Injury) Vanheusden Z. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Apollon Limassol: Peybernes M. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Apollon Limassol won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Apollon Limassol
Cypriot First Division
10.10.22	Anorthosis - Apollon Limassol	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.10.22	AZ Alkmaar - Apollon Limassol	3:2 ✺
Cypriot First Division
01.10.22	Apollon Limassol - Paphos	1:1 ✺
18.09.22	Nea Salamis - Apollon Limassol	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.09.22	Apollon Limassol - Dnipro-1	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLTTL
- AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie
09.10.22	Utrecht - AZ Alkmaar	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.10.22	AZ Alkmaar - Apollon Limassol	3:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
01.10.22	Groningen - AZ Alkmaar	1:4 ✺
18.09.22	AZ Alkmaar - Ajax	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.09.22	AZ Alkmaar - Vaduz	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
06.10.22	AZ Alkmaar - Apollon Limassol	3:2

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