Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Gomel		ML Vitebsk

	1	X	2
	3.90	3.42	1.92
	3.8	3.5	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 ↑ (3.8)	3.46 ↓ (3.5)	1.88 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gomel
24%

Draw
26.7%

ML Vitebsk
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

26.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

25.4%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Gomel have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Vitebsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gomel than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ML Vitebsk than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Gomel - ML Vitebsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 5th and 2nd in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )).

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

Recently, Gomel has faced a series of away games on the road.

ML Vitebsk carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Gomel has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:7 (averaging 0:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gomel against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals.

Outrights of Belarusian Vysshaya Liga for now

ML Vitebsk: 42.94% FC Gomel: 2.04%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	ML Vitebsk	21	12	8	1	42:17	25	44
5	FC Gomel	23	11	6	6	33:18	15	39

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Gomel
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
20.09.26	Baranovichi - Gomel	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Isloch Minsk - Gomel	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Torpedo-BelAZ - Gomel	1:2 ✺
28.08.26	Gomel - Belshina	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Slavia Mozyr - Gomel	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWT
- ML Vitebsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
18.09.26	ML Vitebsk - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	5:1 ✺
13.09.26	Dnyapro Mogilev - ML Vitebsk	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	ML Vitebsk - Dinamo Minsk	0:0 ✺
02.09.26	ML Vitebsk - Belshina	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Dinamo Brest - ML Vitebsk	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
22.05.26	ML Vitebsk - Gomel	0:0
23.11.25	ML Vitebsk - Gomel	5:0
28.06.25	Gomel - ML Vitebsk	0:2

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