The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 28.5%
Draw 30.5%
Dnyapro Mogilev 41.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.1%
29.6%
30.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.3%
29%
29.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk's form might have worsened.
Dnyapro Mogilev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dnyapro Mogilev's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dnyapro Mogilev than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dnyapro Mogilev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Dnyapro Mogilev Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Soroko A. (G) 90. Antilevskiy D. 79. Badoev K. 2. Bozhko E. 69. Ermolin R. 33. Gorbachik V. 13. Oreshkevich I. 23. Polyakov D. 77. Sotnikov N. 46. Vasilyev V. 31. Zaleskiy A. (C)
33. Sinenko A. (G) 29. Denisyuk A. 89. Harutyunyan V. 15. Kasarab M. 88. Kirilenko K. 55. Krasnov N. 11. Lisakovich D. 17. Potapenko A. 8. Rusak S. (C) 5. Varganov A. 10. Zabelin K.
Substitutes
4. Akunets E. 71. Matveev M. 1. Sanko I. (G) 10. Sazonchik S. 11. Tsallagov D. 16. Vaschenko A. (G) 9. Vasin I. 19. Veretennikov A. 18. Volskiy D.
23. Dunaev A. 7. Gurbanov M. 77. Gushchenko D. (G) 21. Karpitskiy E. 3. Perovic N. 27. Piletskiy R. 99. Stepanenko V. 37. Tsepenkov K. 26. Yurkevich F.
Coaches
Voronkov I.
Kriushenko I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Denisyuk A. 🟥,
8', Sotnikov N. ↓, Volskiy D. ↑,
45+1', Kasarab M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zaleskiy A. ↓, Matveev M. ↑,
70', Gorbachik V. ↓, Vasin I. ↑,
77', Kirilenko K. ↓, Karpitskiy E. ↑,
80', Polyakov D. 🟨,
87', Lisakovich D. ↓, Piletskiy R. ↑,
90+1', Krasnov N. ↓, Dunaev A. ↑,
Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 13th and 15th in the Relegation - Pershaya Liga).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk won 3.
Both teams have struggled for positive results in recent outings.
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:5 (averaging 0.8:0.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 4:1 goals (averaging 1.3:0.3 per game).
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Soroko A. (G) 
Badoev K. 
Harutyunyan V. 
Perovic N. 
Voronkov I. 
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