Match Info

SLOVENIA: 2. SNL - ROUND 14

Date: 30 October 2022, Sunday


	Dob		Nafta

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2
	3	3.35	2.1
	3	3.3	2.02
	3.02	3.48	2.11
	3.04	3.64	2.02
	3.15	3.35	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (4.86)	3.4 ↓ (3.86)	2.05 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dob
29.6%

Draw
26.5%

Nafta
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

23.4%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7%

22.3%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dob has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dob's performance.

Nafta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nafta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dob than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dob that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nafta than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nafta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dob - Nafta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dob won 1.

Recent matches Dob is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nafta is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nafta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Dob have a series of guest games.

In this match Nafta is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Dob won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Dob won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Dob
Slovenian 2 SNL
26.10.22	Krško - Dob	3:2 ✺
22.10.22	Brinje-Grosuplje - Dob	2:0 ✺
Slovenian Cup
19.10.22	Arne Tabor 69 - Dob	0:3 ✺
Slovenian 2 SNL
14.10.22	Dob - Aluminij Kidricevo	3:2 ✺
08.10.22	Rogaška - Dob	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLWWL
- NK Nafta 1903
Slovenian 2 SNL
22.10.22	Nafta - Jadran Dekani	1:1 ✺
Slovenian Cup
19.10.22	Polana - Nafta	0:2 ✺
Slovenian 2 SNL
16.10.22	Beltinci - Nafta	4:3 ✺
07.10.22	Nafta - Bistrica	0:2 ✺
01.10.22	Fužinar Ravne - Nafta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
26.02.22	Dob - Nafta	0:5
08.08.21	Nafta - Dob	2:3
05.05.21	Dob - Nafta	1:1
26.09.20	Dob - Nafta	4:4
11.05.19	Nafta - Dob	0:0
18.11.17	Dob - Nafta	1:0
04.08.17	Nafta - Dob	1:0

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