Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 29

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Jamhuri Stadium (Dodoma)


	Dodoma Jiji		Mbeya City

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.75	1.57
	2.23	2.85	3.05
	3.70	4.13	1.67
	4.21	4.61	1.58	Watch
	4.32	4.10	1.63
	2.05	2.9	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (2.05)	3.72 ↑ (2.9)	2.15 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dodoma Jiji
27.8%

Draw
26.4%

Mbeya City
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

30.6%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

29.2%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dodoma Jiji has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dodoma Jiji's form might have worsened.

Mbeya City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mbeya City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dodoma Jiji than the current prediction. (+17.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dodoma Jiji, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mbeya City than the current prediction. (-20.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mbeya City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dodoma Jiji - Mbeya City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	30. Mussa H. (G)
	10. Ambokile E. (C)
	26. Buha A.
	42. Dilunga H.
	33. Kijili K.
	54. Lidah H.
	19. Msuya R.
	17. Mwani W.
	15. Mwasa D.
	28. Pemba K.
	5. Seleman Mbegu Y.
Substitutes
	11. Abdallah O.
	18. Dondola S. (G)
	14. Lukandamila D.
	20. Majimengi H.
	60. Maranyingi B.
	4. Pillar K.
	32. Simon M.
	6. Yassin A.
	55. Zuberi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Buha A. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Kipagwile I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 13 in the zone Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dodoma won 2.

Recent form of Dodoma has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Mbeya City's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Dodoma might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Dodoma won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Dodoma won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Mbeya City	6	3	1	2	6:4	2	10
7	Dodoma Jiji	6	3	1	2	4:4	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dodoma Jiji FC
Tanzanian Premier League
24.06.26	Dodoma Jiji - JKT Tanzania	0:0 ✺
17.06.26	Singida Black Stars - Dodoma Jiji	5:0 ✺
14.06.26	Prisons - Dodoma Jiji	3:1 ✺
24.05.26	Simba - Dodoma Jiji	1:0 ✺
20.05.26	Dodoma Jiji - Mashujaa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLT
- Mbeya City FC
Tanzanian Premier League
24.06.26	Pamba - Mbeya City	0:2 ✺
17.06.26	Mbeya City - Simba	0:1 ✺
13.06.26	Mbeya City - Mtibwa Sugar	1:0 ✺
26.05.26	Singida Black Stars - Mbeya City	4:1 ✺
21.05.26	Namungo - Mbeya City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
03.02.26	Mbeya City - Dodoma Jiji	1:1
18.12.22	Mbeya City - Dodoma Jiji	1:2
17.08.22	Dodoma Jiji - Mbeya City	1:3
23.04.22	Dodoma Jiji - Mbeya City	2:1
06.12.21	Mbeya City - Dodoma Jiji	2:0
09.03.21	Mbeya City - Dodoma Jiji	1:1
16.10.20	Dodoma Jiji - Mbeya City	0:0

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