Match Info

CAF Champions League - Round 6

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: KMC Stadium (Dar es Salaam) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport OTT 4
Australia	03:00	beIN Connect
Canada	11:00	beIN Connect
Hong Kong	00:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Indonesia	23:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Malaysia	00:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
New Zealand	05:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	17:00	SuperSport OTT 4
Philippines	00:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Singapore	00:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
South Africa	18:00	SuperSport OTT 4
Thailand	23:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Usa	11:00	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Simba		Stade Malien

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.8	5.25
	1.55	3.7	5.9
	1.54	3.55	6.66
	2.03	3.52	3.36	Watch
	1.57	3.25	6
	1.58	3.93	5.43	Watch
	1.58	3.5	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (2.28)	3.61 ↑ (3.4)	5.59 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Simba
57.4%

Draw
25.9%

Stade Malien
16.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.3%

27%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

26%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Simba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Simba's performance.

Stade Malien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stade Malien might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Simba than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Simba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade Malien than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stade Malien could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.5%	4.5%	0%

Simba - Stade Malien Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Simba will win (votes: 21 - 95.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Simba: 86.8% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Simba (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Simba will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Simba (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Tanja M. (G) 15. Duchu 23. De Reuck R. (C) 25. Toure I. 32. Kibabage N. 21. Kagoma Y. 34. Mpanzu E. 24. Chama C. 8. Kante A. 20. Oura A. A. 40. Mwalimu S.	1. Traore N. (C) 28. Bode A. 5. Diarra B. 15. Hama B. 13. Awine F. 12. Bello A. 32. Asamoah G. 11. Diallo M. 8. Mandjan H. 10. Coulibaly D. 19. Simpara Z.
Substitutes
28. Abel H. (G) 18. Abraham M. 30. Camara N. 10. Loemba I. 35. Maema N. 4. Masinde V. 5. Mligo A. 37. Semfuko H. 3. Sowah J.	4. Coulibaly A. 37. Issa H. 34. Nkeng T. 36. Simpara I. 16. Sy C. (G)
Coaches
Barker S.	Njoya M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Oura A. A. ⚽, Mwalimu S. (A),
12', Bode A. 🟨,
33', Traore N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Traore N. ↓, Sy C. ↑,
64', Asamoah G. ↓, Nkeng T. ↑,
70', Kante A. ↓, Loemba I. ↑,
70', Mpanzu E. ↓, Abraham M. ↑,
78', Simpara Z. ↓, Issa H. ↑,
84', Mwalimu S. ↓, Sowah J. ↑,
85', Diallo M. 🟨,
87', Mandjan H. ↓, Coulibaly A. ↑,

Preview

Stade Malien is Qualified for CAF Champions League (Play Offs )

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Stade Malien may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Simba might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Simba won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Simba SC
Tanzanian Premier League
11.02.26	Kinondoni MC - Simba	0:2 ✺
CAF Champions League
07.02.26	Atlético Petróleos de Luanda - Simba	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Simba - Espérance ST	2:2 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
29.01.26	Simba - Mashujaa	2:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
24.01.26	Espérance ST - Simba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTTWL
- Stade Malien
CAF Champions League
08.02.26	Stade Malien - Espérance ST	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Atlético Petróleos de Luanda - Stade Malien	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Stade Malien - Atlético Petróleos de Luanda	2:0 ✺
Malian Première Division
17.01.26	Stade Malien - Mali Coura	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Bougouni - Stade Malien	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

CAF Champions League
30.11.25	Stade Malien - Simba	2:1

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