The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Dolomiti Bellunesi 32.5%
Draw 30.9%
Pergolettese 36.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.5%
29.2%
30.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.4%
27.9%
28.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dolomiti Bellunesi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dolomiti Bellunesi's form might have worsened.
Pergolettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pergolettese's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dolomiti Bellunesi than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dolomiti Bellunesi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pergolettese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
22. Consiglio L. (G) 73. Tavanti M. 23. Mondonico D. 24. Gobetti N. 27. Saccani M. 87. Burrai S. 19. Mignanelli D. 37. Agosti L. 7. Cossalter T. 91. Marconi G. 20. Olonisakin T.
1. Cordaro L. (G) 5. Milesi L. 26. Bane A. 33. Capoferri M. 27. Aidoo M. 20. Tremolada M. 4. Arini M. 19. Pala A. 80. Jaouhari Z. 11. Corti N. 9. Petrovic T.
Substitutes
1. Abati L. (G) 3. Alcides E. 4. Brugnolo R. 49. Casanova K. 10. Clemenza L. 32. Lattanzio A. 21. Masut N. 33. Migliardi F. 11. Petito F. 53. Pittino T. 29. Toci E. 5. Trabucchi N. 81. Vacca A. 12. Zecchin A. (G)
3. Antolini J. 21. Careccia S. 2. Catena E. M. 22. Doldi F. (G) 6. Dore S. 10. Ferrandino D. 12. Finardi E. (G) 14. Lambrughi A. 70. Orlandi A. 72. Padalino A. 77. Pessolani G. 99. Rossetti M. 76. Roversi L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Corti N. ⚽,
33', Jaouhari Z. 🟨,
44', Mignanelli D. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, Olonisakin T. ⚽,
54', Tremolada M. 🟨,
59', 1 - 2, Tremolada M. ⚽,
69', Marconi G. ↓, Vacca A. ↑,
69', Agosti L. ↓, Clemenza L. ↑,
69', Gobetti N. ↓, Migliardi F. ↑,
70', Tremolada M. ↓, Dore S. ↑,
71', Jaouhari Z. ↓, Careccia S. ↑,
74', Burrai S. ↓, Petito F. ↑,
78', Capoferri M. 🟨,
82', Pala A. ↓, Antolini J. ↑,
82', Milesi L. ↓, Lambrughi A. ↑,
86', Petrovic T. ↓, Ferrandino D. ↑,
86', Cordaro L. 🟨,
87', Tavanti M. ↓, Toci E. ↑,
89', Vacca A. 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Pergolettese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dolomiti Bellunesi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Pergolettese
9
2
5
2
5:6
-1
11
12
Dolomiti Bellunesi
9
2
4
3
7:9
-2
10
Last Results with these Odds
Dolomiti Bellunesi - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.48%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.