Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 21

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Giuseppe Voltini (Crema)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255


	Pergolettese		Lumezzane

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.38	3.05	2.88
	2.27	3.06	3.13	Watch
	2.2	2.75	3.2
	2.25	2.95	3.15	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.54)	2.98 ↓ (3.42)	3.11 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pergolettese
40.1%

Draw
30.6%

Lumezzane
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

26.9%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

26.6%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pergolettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Lumezzane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lumezzane might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lumezzane could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Pergolettese - Lumezzane Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lumezzane will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cordaro L. (G) 27. Aidoo M. 26. Bane A. 21. Careccia S. 11. Corti N. 10. Ferrandino D. 80. Jaouhari Z. 14. Lambrughi A. 72. Padalino A. 19. Pala A. 20. Tremolada M.	50. Drago G. (G) 20. Caccavo L. 2. Deratti J. 11. Ghillani A. 21. Iori M. 70. Mancini S. 23. Moscati M. 4. Paghera F. 3. Pagliari M. 19. Rolando M. 31. Stivanello R.
Substitutes
3. Antolini J. 4. Arini M. 13. Benvenuto M. 33. Capoferri M. 32. Di Gesu E. 22. Doldi F. (G) 6. Dore S. 12. Finardi E. (G) 30. Pepa N. 77. Pessolani G. 76. Roversi L. 82. Sartori F.	12. Battagliola L. (G) 99. Belvedere F. 5. D'Agostino S. 9. Donnarumma A. 7. Ferro M. 1. Filigheddu S. (G) 45. Monachello G. 95. Motta M. 27. Napolitano G. 6. Pogliano C. 14. Rihai A. 8. Rocca M. 41. Scanzi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Mancini S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ghillani A. ↓, Rocca M. ↑,
61', Mancini S. 🟨,
63', Rocca M. 🟨,
65', 0 - 2, Caccavo L. ⚽,
66', Tremolada M. ↓, Dore S. ↑,
72', Aidoo M. 🟨,
72', Jaouhari Z. ↓, Pessolani G. ↑,
73', Aidoo M. ↓, Di Gesu E. ↑,
74', Mancini S. ↓, Ferro M. ↑,
74', Pagliari M. ↓, Motta M. ↑,
82', Stivanello R. ↓, Rihai A. ↑,
83', Pala A. ↓, Antolini J. ↑,
86', Caccavo L. ↓, Donnarumma A. ↑,
87', Padalino A. 🟨,
90+1', Ferro M. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pergolettese won 3.

Recent form of Pergolettese has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Lumezzane has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Pergolettese won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Pergolettese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Lumezzane	8	3	2	3	10:11	-1	11
11	Pergolettese	9	2	5	2	5:6	-1	11

Last Results with these Odds

Pergolettese - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.2%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
03.01.26	Renate - Pergolettese	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Lecco - Pergolettese	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Pergolettese - Vicenza Virtus	0:1 ✺
08.12.25	Virtus Verona - Pergolettese	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Pergolettese - AlbinoLeffe	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLTT
- FC Lumezzane
Italian Serie C Group A
04.01.26	Lumezzane - Vicenza Virtus	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Virtus Verona - Lumezzane	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Lumezzane - Lecco	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Brescia - Lumezzane	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Lumezzane - Novara	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
31.08.25	Lumezzane - Pergolettese	2:3
13.03.25	Pergolettese - Lumezzane	1:0
29.10.24	Lumezzane - Pergolettese	0:2
14.01.24	Pergolettese - Lumezzane	0:1
10.09.23	Lumezzane - Pergolettese	1:0
Italian Serie D - Group B
14.01.18	Lumezzane - Pergolettese	1:1

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