Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 19

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday


	Domagnano		Fiorentino

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.4	3.9
	1.84	3.28	3.87
	1.79	3.62	3.95	Watch
	1.75	3.3	3.9
	1.8	3.65	4.17
	1.83	3.33	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.46)	3.43 ↓ (4.1)	3.93 ↓ (5.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Domagnano
50.5%

Draw
26.5%

Fiorentino
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

22.1%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

23.4%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Domagnano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Domagnano's form might have worsened.

Fiorentino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fiorentino's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Domagnano than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Domagnano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentino than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fiorentino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Domagnano - Fiorentino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Luca P. ⚽, Abouzziane S. (A),
34', 1 - 1, Ferraro N. ⚽, Perazzini D. (A),
35', Luca P. 🟥,
35', 1 - 2, Abouzziane S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
71', 2 - 2, Bonetti M. ⚽, Guglielmi F. (A),
90+1', 2 - 3, Abouzziane S. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Domagnano won 0.

Domagnano has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Fiorentino has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Domagnano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Domagnano is a strong favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Domagnano won 0 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Domagnano won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Domagnano	4	2	0	2	7:6	1	6
9	Fiorentino	4	1	1	2	4:5	-1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Domagnano
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
25.01.26	Domagnano - Cosmos	0:3 ✺
20.01.26	AC Libertas - Domagnano	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Domagnano - Pennarossa	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Domagnano - San Giovanni	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	La Fiorita - Domagnano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTTT
- FC Fiorentino
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
24.01.26	Fiorentino - San Giovanni	0:1 ✺
20.01.26	Pennarossa - Fiorentino	2:4 ✺
17.01.26	Fiorentino - Tre Penne	0:6 ✺
20.12.25	Fiorentino - Murata	3:0 ✺
13.12.25	Faetano - Fiorentino	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
27.09.25	Fiorentino - Domagnano	0:0
13.04.25	Domagnano - Fiorentino	0:3
14.12.24	Fiorentino - Domagnano	2:0
17.03.24	Fiorentino - Domagnano	2:0
09.12.23	Domagnano - Fiorentino	2:2
12.02.23	Fiorentino - Domagnano	0:0
01.10.22	Domagnano - Fiorentino	1:1

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