Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 16

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Domagnano		Pennarossa

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.65	6.5	Watch
	1.49	3.56	7.31	Watch
	1.44	3.9	5.5
	1.44	3.62	7.65
	1.5	3.14	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.29)	3.57 ↓ (4.77)	6.99 ↓ (9.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Domagnano
61.7%

Draw
25.3%

Pennarossa
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.2%

19.2%

9.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Domagnano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Domagnano's form might have worsened.

Pennarossa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Domagnano - Pennarossa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
76', 1 - 0, Bonetti M. ⚽, Sopranzi P. (A),
84', Gozzi E. 🟥,
90', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 🟥,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Domagnano won 2.

Domagnano is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pennarossa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Domagnano has had a series of home games.

In this match, Domagnano is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Domagnano won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Domagnano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Domagnano	4	2	0	2	7:6	1	6
14	Pennarossa	4	1	0	3	7:16	-9	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Domagnano
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
20.12.25	Domagnano - San Giovanni	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	La Fiorita - Domagnano	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Domagnano - Faetano	4:1 ✺
29.11.25	Domagnano - Virtus	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Domagnano - San Marino Academy U22	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 TTWWW
- SS Pennarossa
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
21.12.25	Juvenes-Dogana - Pennarossa	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Pennarossa - Cosmos	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Pennarossa - Cailungo	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Murata - Pennarossa	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Pennarossa - La Fiorita	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
30.08.25	Pennarossa - Domagnano	0:4
30.03.25	Domagnano - Pennarossa	2:4
30.11.24	Pennarossa - Domagnano	1:1
20.02.24	Domagnano - Pennarossa	0:0
28.10.23	Pennarossa - Domagnano	1:2
08.03.23	Domagnano - Pennarossa	0:1
06.11.22	Pennarossa - Domagnano	2:2

Domagnano - Pennarossa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide