Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 18

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio di Fiorentino (Fiorentino)


	Fiorentino		San Giovanni

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	3.8	Watch
	1.86	3.27	3.82
	1.85	3.49	3.84	Watch
	1.85	3.1	3.75
	1.93	3.44	3.85
	1.86	3.25	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.86)	3.29 ↓ (3.48)	3.8 ↓ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentino
48.6%

Draw
27.6%

San Giovanni
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

26.5%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

25.5%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

San Giovanni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentino than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Giovanni than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Fiorentino - San Giovanni Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
80', 0 - 1, D'Angeli E. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentino won 2.

Fiorentino is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

San Giovanni is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

San Giovanni may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fiorentino is considered a favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Fiorentino won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentino won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Fiorentino	4	1	1	2	4:5	-1	4
13	San Giovanni	4	1	0	3	4:10	-6	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Fiorentino
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
20.01.26	Pennarossa - Fiorentino	2:4 ✺
17.01.26	Fiorentino - Tre Penne	0:6 ✺
20.12.25	Fiorentino - Murata	3:0 ✺
13.12.25	Faetano - Fiorentino	0:3 ✺
07.12.25	Fiorentino - San Marino Academy U22	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWWW
- SS San Giovanni
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
21.01.26	San Giovanni - Tre Fiori	0:4 ✺
18.01.26	Juvenes-Dogana - San Giovanni	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Domagnano - San Giovanni	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	San Marino Academy U22 - San Giovanni	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	San Giovanni - La Fiorita	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
20.09.25	San Giovanni - Fiorentino	1:1
15.09.24	San Giovanni - Fiorentino	0:1
21.02.24	Fiorentino - San Giovanni	1:1
28.10.23	San Giovanni - Fiorentino	2:0
San Marino Coppa Titano
27.09.23	Fiorentino - San Giovanni	4:1
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
25.02.23	Fiorentino - San Giovanni	1:3
14.10.22	San Giovanni - Fiorentino	4:3

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