Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 14

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: San Marino Stadium (Serravalle)


	Juvenes-Dogana		Pennarossa

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.65	4.85
	1.57	4.05	4.89	Watch
	1.57	3.5	5
	1.55	3.72	5.28
	1.57	3.8	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.68)	3.74 ↓ (3.75)	4.95 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juvenes-Dogana
57.6%

Draw
24.2%

Pennarossa
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

24.2%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

23.8%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juvenes-Dogana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Pennarossa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juvenes-Dogana than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pennarossa than the current prediction. (+3%)

Juvenes Dogana - Pennarossa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
65', 0 - 1, Gregori E. ⚽,
69', 1 - 1, Sartini N. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 1, Aprea M. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juvenes-Dogana won 5.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Juvenes-Dogana is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Juvenes-Dogana won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 2.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Juvenes-Dogana won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juvenes-Dogana
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
14.12.25	Folgore - Juvenes-Dogana	1:1 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
10.12.25	Juvenes-Dogana - Tre Penne	1:0 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
06.12.25	Juvenes-Dogana - AC Libertas	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	San Marino Academy U22 - Juvenes-Dogana	0:2 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
26.11.25	Tre Penne - Juvenes-Dogana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TWLWT
- SS Pennarossa
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
14.12.25	Pennarossa - Cosmos	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Pennarossa - Cailungo	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Murata - Pennarossa	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Pennarossa - La Fiorita	0:5 ✺
08.11.25	AC Libertas - Pennarossa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
05.04.25	Juvenes-Dogana - Pennarossa	1:0
11.02.24	Juvenes-Dogana - Pennarossa	3:1
07.10.23	Pennarossa - Juvenes-Dogana	1:2
01.04.23	Pennarossa - Juvenes-Dogana	1:4
04.12.22	Juvenes-Dogana - Pennarossa	3:1
San Marino Coppa Titano
28.09.21	Juvenes-Dogana - Pennarossa	0:2
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
06.03.18	Juvenes-Dogana - Pennarossa	2:1

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