Match Info
Campionato Sammarinese - Play Offs - Semi-finalsDate: 12 May 2026, TuesdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 World | FIFA+ |
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Domagnano |
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Virtus |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
5.15 |
4.15 |
1.48 |
 Watch |
 |
5.03 |
4.08 |
1.46 |
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 |
5.26 |
4.52 |
1.48 |
Watch |
 |
6.19 |
4.15 |
1.43 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.41 ↓
(7.85) |
4.23 ↓
(4.9) |
1.46 ↑
(1.32) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Domagnano
16.7% | Draw
21.4% | Virtus
61.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Domagnano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Virtus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Virtus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Domagnano than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Domagnano that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus than the current prediction. (+10.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Virtus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 12', Scappini S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 31', 1 - 0, Bonetti M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 34', 2 - 0, Ferraro N. ⚽, Bonetti M. (A),
- 42', Ferraro N. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 86', 2 - 1, Scappini S. ⚽, Piscitella G. (A),
Preview
First leg result: 1-2.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Domagnano won 1.Domagnano is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).Virtus is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). In this match, Virtus is the obvious favorite.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Domagnano won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:20. (average 0.8:1.8).Including home matches between the teams, Domagnano won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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