The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pennarossa 43.1%
Draw 27%
Cailungo 29.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.7%
26.4%
28.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.6%
25.9%
28.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pennarossa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Cailungo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pennarossa than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cailungo than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Pennarossa - Cailungo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, Pintore M. ⚽, Arlotti D. (A),
75', 2 - 0, Zahir E. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pennarossa won 1.
Pennarossa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Cailungo has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Cailungo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Pennarossa could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Pennarossa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 1:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Pennarossa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).
Watch
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