Match Info

Prva liga - Round 6

Date: 22 August 2025, Friday

Location: Športni park Domžale (Domžale)

Referee: Jug M. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 5
Serbia	SportKlub 5
Slovenia	SportKlub 1


	Domžale		Aluminij Kidricevo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.6	3.4	2.35
	3.35	3.45	1.98
	3.62	3.75	1.97
	3.53	3.72	1.93	Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.38
	3.72	3.62	1.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (2.59)	3.52 ↑ (3.41)	2.09 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Domžale
28.7%

Draw
26.5%

Aluminij Kidricevo
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

27%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

25.8%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Domžale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Domžale's form might have worsened.

Aluminij Kidricevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aluminij Kidricevo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Domžale than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Domžale, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aluminij Kidricevo than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aluminij Kidricevo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	7.7%	69.2%

Domžale - Aluminij Kidricevo Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Domžale will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Aluminij will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aluminij: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Domžale (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Domžale (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aluminij Kidricevo will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Domžale (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Aluminij (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Maticic B. (G) 32. Faye F. 2. Hrvatin R. 66. Kambic L. 85. Klancir P. 36. Kranjcic G. 5. Lampreht R. 55. Lorber M. 19. Milic N. 27. Omoregie D. 10. Vuckic H. (C)	22. Rozman M. (G) 5. Feratovic A. 11. Feta B. 14. Jagic T. (C) 42. Koderman V. 17. Kosi F. 10. Saitoski E. 4. Schaubach R. 66. Simonic M. 19. Sule W. 3. Zeljkovic A.
Substitutes
15. Dovzan Karahodzic L. 38. Malov D. 11. Mlakar L. 28. Perc N. 87. Ribeiro J. 35. Serbec M. 25. Vodisek R. (G) 4. Vujcic N. 34. Zabukovnik A.	9. Bloudek A. 1. Jovanovic L. (G) 6. Kocar O. 90. Koren N. 8. Maher R. 2. Pecnik G. 77. Petrisko P. 18. Rogina S. 99. Stamenkovic A. 20. Svrznjak I. 7. Tanyi B. 33. Zajsek D.
Coaches
Millan E.	Arsic J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Sule W. 🟨,
18', Simonic M. 🟨,
34', Jagic T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', Koderman V. 🟨,
60', Omoregie D. ↓, Dovzan Karahodzic L. ↑,
62', Milic N. 🟨,
64', Simonic M. ↓, Svrznjak I. ↑,
64', Kosi F. ↓, Petrisko P. ↑,
76', Feta B. ↓, Pecnik G. ↑,
77', Saitoski E. ↓, Rogina S. ↑,
79', Kranjcic G. ↓, Serbec M. ↑,
83', Vuckic H. ↓, Mlakar L. ↑,
85', Sule W. ↓, Bloudek A. ↑,
87', Faye F. 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 1, Petrisko P. ⚽,
90+3', 0 - 2, Bloudek A. ⚽,
90+4', Rozman M. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. SNL and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Domžale won 5.

Domžale has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Aluminij has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Aluminij will win today's game, with odds of 2.38.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Domžale won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 42:23. (average 2.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Domžale won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:13. (average 1.9:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Domžale
Slovenian PrvaLiga
16.08.25	Mura - Domžale	3:0 ✺
10.08.25	Domžale - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:3 ✺
01.08.25	Radomlje - Domžale	2:0 ✺
27.07.25	Domžale - Maribor	1:2 ✺
19.07.25	Primorje - Domžale	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Aluminij Kidricevo
Slovenian PrvaLiga
17.08.25	Aluminij Kidricevo - Celje	2:3 ✺
09.08.25	NK Bravo - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:2 ✺
02.08.25	Mura - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	Aluminij Kidricevo - Olimpija Ljubljana	0:3 ✺
18.07.25	Radomlje - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian PrvaLiga
18.05.24	Aluminij Kidricevo - Domžale	1:3
16.03.24	Domžale - Aluminij Kidricevo	2:0
06.12.23	Aluminij Kidricevo - Domžale	0:5
22.09.23	Domžale - Aluminij Kidricevo	2:1
Club Friendly
27.01.23	Domžale - Aluminij Kidricevo	4:3
09.07.22	Domžale - Aluminij Kidricevo	2:1
Slovenian PrvaLiga
01.05.22	Domžale - Aluminij Kidricevo	3:1

Upcoming Matches