Match Info

SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/64-finals

Date: 30 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Principe Felipe (Cáceres)


	Cacereño		Gimnástica Segoviana

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	3.4
	2.2	3.4	3.25
	2.1	3.25	3.4	Watch
	2.13	3.15	3.36
	2.19	3.27	3.08	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3.2
	2.2	3.28	3.42	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.73)	3.26 ↑ (3.22)	3.31 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cacereño
43.4%

Draw
28.5%

Gimnástica Segoviana
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

28.9%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

28.9%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cacereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cacereño's performance.

Gimnástica Segoviana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnástica Segoviana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cacereño that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnástica Segoviana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cacereño - Gimnástica Segoviana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodriguez I. (G) 18. Navas A. 4. Crespo A. 3. Barrio J. 5. de Diego J. 8. Deco 6. Clausi A. (C) 19. Bernal J. 17. Vinuela F. 7. Carrillo M. 20. Salinas A.	44. Oliva H. (G) 21. Juan Silva 5. Pascual A. 3. Molina S. 18. Gabriel Palmero 14. Llorente F. 6. Olmedilla M. 23. Ferreiroa F. 20. Tellechea I. 9. Gomez D. 10. Borrego J.
Substitutes
11. Alvaro Merencio 16. Arevalo S. 9. Martinez C. 2. Martinez I. . Nieves D. (G) 14. Perez A. 21. Sancho J. 15. Sanvi 10. Sarmiento J. 29. Valiente M. 27. Vicente I.	11. Astray P. 7. Berlanga M. 1. Carmona P. (G) 25. Changyi L. (G) 17. Chupo 19. Davo 8. Diaz H. 28. Garcia G. 29. Ibanes R. 26. Marcos H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Deco ⚽, Bernal J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ferreiroa F. ↓, Davo ↑,
46', Borrego J. ↓, Berlanga M. ↑,
65', Tellechea I. ↓, Astray P. ↑,
65', Gabriel Palmero ↓, Chupo ↑,
65', Salinas A. ↓, Martinez C. ↑,
79', Vinuela F. ↓, Alvaro Merencio ↑,
79', Carrillo M. ↓, Sancho J. ↑,
80', Deco 🟨,
80', Llorente F. ↓, Diaz H. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Olmedilla M. ⚽,
90+2', Gomez D. 🟨,
90+3', Bernal J. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
99', Clausi A. 🟨,
102', Molina S. 🟨,
103', 2 - 1, Martinez C. (Pen),
106', Molina S. ↓, Marcos H. ↑,
111', Deco ↓, Vicente I. ↑,
116', Rodriguez I. 🟨,

Preview

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Gimnástica Segoviana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Cacereño won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:11 (average 2.3:2.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Cacereño won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 2:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Cacereño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.10.24	Unión Adarve - Cacereño	0:0 ✺
20.10.24	Cacereño - San Sebastian Reyes	2:3 ✺
13.10.24	Tenerife B - Cacereño	4:1 ✺
06.10.24	Talavera de la Reina - Cacereño	2:2 ✺
29.09.24	Cacereño - CD Guadalajara	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TLLTT
- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.10.24	Celta de Vigo B - Gimnástica Segoviana	4:1 ✺
20.10.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Real Unión de Irun	3:0 ✺
12.10.24	Osasuna B - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:2 ✺
06.10.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Zamora	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Arenteiro - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
31.03.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Cacereño	5:0
19.11.23	Cacereño - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:3
16.04.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - Cacereño	1:5
04.12.22	Cacereño - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:2

Upcoming Matches