Match Info

Date: 10 January 2021, Sunday


	Don Benito		Villarrubia

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	2.85
	2.1	3	3.75
	2.06	2.95	3.5
	2.14	3.08	3.85
	2.11	3.22	3.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.54)	3.09 ↓ (3.12)	3.46 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Don Benito
43.5%

Draw
29.9%

Villarrubia
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

28.9%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

21.8%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Don Benito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Don Benito's performance.

Villarrubia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villarrubia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Don Benito than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Don Benito that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarrubia than the current prediction. (+20.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villarrubia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Don Benito - Villarrubia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 8 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Relegation Group) and 6 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Second stage)).

Recent matches Don Benito is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Villarrubia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Don Benito will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Don Benito won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Don Benito won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Don Benito
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
13.12.20	Socuéllamos - Don Benito	4:1 ✺
06.12.20	Don Benito - Melilla	1:0 ✺
29.11.20	Mérida AD - Don Benito	0:0 ✺
22.11.20	Don Benito - Villanovense	0:0 ✺
14.11.20	Don Benito - Extremadura UD	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWTTL
- Villarrubia CF
Club Friendly
20.12.20	Socuéllamos - Villarrubia	0:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
13.12.20	Villarrubia - Talavera de la Reina	1:3 ✺
05.12.20	Villarrubia - Socuéllamos	2:0 ✺
29.11.20	Villarrobledo - Villarrubia	1:2 ✺
22.11.20	Villarrubia - Melilla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
01.03.20	Don Benito - Villarrubia	5:0
13.10.19	Villarrubia - Don Benito	0:1

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