Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 32Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Arroyo |
|
Villafranca |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.5 |
3.4 |
1.83 |
|
 |
3.35 |
3.3 |
2.01 |
|
 |
3.27 |
3.34 |
2.02 |
|
 |
3.55 |
3.26 |
1.96 |
|
 |
3.4 |
3.2 |
2.01 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.41 ↓
(4.06) |
3.3 ↓
(3.69) |
1.97 ↑
(1.72) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Arroyo
26.5% | Draw
27.4% | Villafranca
46% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arroyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Villafranca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villafranca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arroyo than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villafranca than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villafranca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Arroyo - Villafranca Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 37', 0 - 1, Rivero D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 48', 1 - 1, Rios ⚽,
- 79', 1 - 2, Ouattara A. ⚽,
- 87', 1 - 3, Yaw L. J. ⚽,
- 89', 1 - 4, Ouattara A. ⚽,
Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).Last 5 head-to-head matches Arroyo won 2. Arroyo is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0). Villafranca is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3). In this match Villafranca is a favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Arroyo won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:7 (average 0.7:1.2). Including matches at home between the teams Arroyo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 | | | 14.12.24 | Villafranca - Arroyo | 4:0 | | 18.02.24 | Arroyo - Villafranca | 0:0 | | 08.10.23 | Villafranca - Arroyo | 1:2 | | 16.04.23 | Arroyo - Villafranca | 1:2 | | 17.12.22 | Villafranca - Arroyo | 0:1 | | 20.02.22 | Villafranca - Arroyo | 0:0 |
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