Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 26

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Dorchester Town		Uxbridge

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.55	3.5
	1.82	3.98	3.7	Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.5
	1.84	3.6	3.57
	1.76	3.8	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.28)	3.65 ↓ (3.9)	3.61 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorchester Town
50%

Draw
24.9%

Uxbridge
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

23.8%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

23.1%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorchester Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dorchester Town's performance.

Uxbridge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Uxbridge might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dorchester Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uxbridge than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Uxbridge could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Dorchester Town - Uxbridge Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Dorchester will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dorchester Town will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Bocarro C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Dorchester has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Uxbridge is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Uxbridge may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Dorchester might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dorchester won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Outrights of English Southern League South Division for now

Uxbridge: 5.61%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Uxbridge	9	6	2	1	19:8	11	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorchester Town
English Southern League South Division
27.12.25	Dorchester Town - Weymouth	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Sholing - Dorchester Town	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Dorchester Town - Hungerford Town	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Dorchester Town - Gosport Borough	2:2 ✺
26.11.25	Taunton Town - Dorchester Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWTT
- Uxbridge
English Southern League South Division
03.01.26	Uxbridge - Chertsey Town	0:1 ✺
27.12.25	Hanwell Town - Uxbridge	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Uxbridge - Bracknell Town	2:3 ✺
13.12.25	Poole Town - Uxbridge	3:1 ✺
06.12.25	Uxbridge - Walton & Hersham	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
09.08.25	Uxbridge - Dorchester Town	0:0

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