Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 16

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday


	Havant & Waterlooville		Dorchester Town

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.55	3.5
	1.87	3.83	3.64	Watch
	1.8	3.5	3.5
	1.83	3.98	3.67
	1.92	3.5	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.81)	3.67 ↓ (3.94)	3.56 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Havant & Waterlooville
49.5%

Draw
24.9%

Dorchester Town
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

23.5%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

22.3%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Havant & Waterlooville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Dorchester Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Havant & Waterlooville than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Havant & Waterlooville - Dorchester Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Havant won 2.

Havant has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Dorchester's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dorchester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Dorchester has had a series of home games.

In this match, Havant is the team to beat.

We predict that Havant will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Havant won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:3. (average 1.9:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Havant won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 3.3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
21	Havant & W	9	1	2	6	9:16	-7	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Havant & Waterlooville
English Southern League South Division
10.01.26	Taunton Town - Havant & Waterlooville	2:2 ✺
07.01.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Farnham Town	4:3 ✺
03.01.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Sholing	4:3 ✺
26.12.25	Gosport Borough - Havant & Waterlooville	0:4 ✺
20.12.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Wimborne Town	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 TWWWW
- Dorchester Town
English Southern League South Division
10.01.26	Dorchester Town - Uxbridge	0:2 ✺
27.12.25	Dorchester Town - Weymouth	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Sholing - Dorchester Town	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Dorchester Town - Hungerford Town	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Dorchester Town - Gosport Borough	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
04.01.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Dorchester Town	1:1
10.08.24	Dorchester Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:1
English National League South
11.02.14	Dorchester Town - Havant & Waterlooville	0:2
07.12.13	Havant & Waterlooville - Dorchester Town	5:1
26.01.13	Dorchester Town - Havant & Waterlooville	0:0
13.11.12	Havant & Waterlooville - Dorchester Town	4:0
25.02.12	Dorchester Town - Havant & Waterlooville	N/A

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