Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 3

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: M-Scores Stadion (Dordrecht) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Boel N. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	14:00	SportsEngine Play


	Dordrecht		Roda

	1	X	2
	2.57	3.50	2.50	Watch
	2.45	3.50	2.45
	2.60	3.40	2.38	Watch
	2.68	3.70	2.46
	2.56	3.56	2.55	Watch
	2.60	3.70	2.40
	2.60	3.46	2.53	Watch
	2.50	3.35	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.31)	3.52 ↑ (3.4)	2.47 ↓ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dordrecht
36.1%

Draw
26.3%

Roda
37.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.1%

27.3%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

26.7%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dordrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Roda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roda than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Dordrecht - Roda Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Dordrecht will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Roda will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Raatsie C. (G) 2. Lechkar A. 8. Vugts S. 44. Hardley B. 5. Mpanzu B. 21. Vetkal M. 4. Pinas J. (C) 7. Venema N. 10. Ouarghi A. 11. Rossi N. 77. Sits D.	1. Treichel J. (G) 3. Tol M. 11. Dorenbosch D. 15. Beerten L. 14. van den Berg X. 6. Paulissen M. 24. Deom J. 5. Jansen K. 8. Mensah J. 4. Nisbet J. 9. van den Hurk A. (C)
Substitutes
14. Bae S. 28. Coremans T. (G) 29. Felicia N. 13. Hogervorst D. (G) 34. Kessrioui M. 6. Riccio L. 16. Roman L. 22. van Aken J. 18. van Asten R. 23. Woudenberg L. 17. Younous Y.	19. Crabu N. 31. Ferati L. 22. Kruiver J. 32. Maoujoudi N. 25. Marsman B. 26. Sleegers J. 30. Stevelmans Y. 21. Stojcevic M. (G) 28. van Damme J. (G)
Coaches
Nuijten P.	Penders R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Nisbet J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rossi N. ↓, Roman L. ↑,
46', Hardley B. ↓, van Aken J. ↑,
52', Jansen K. 🟨,
54', Mensah J. 🟨,
58', van den Hurk A. 🟨,
65', Mpanzu B. ↓, Woudenberg L. ↑,
71', Paulissen M. ↓, Kruiver J. ↑,
78', van den Berg X. ↓, Marsman B. ↑,
78', Mensah J. ↓, Sleegers J. ↑,
78', Lechkar A. ↓, van Asten R. ↑,
82', Beerten L. 🟨,
83', Vetkal M. 🟨,
84', Vetkal M. ↓, Felicia N. ↑,
90+2', Nisbet J. ↓, Maoujoudi N. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 3.

Dordrecht is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Roda is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Dordrecht has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There are questionable in Dordrecht: Bischof N. (Ankle Injury) de Bie J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Roda: Khaldi Z. (Illness) Schenten F. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:40. (average 1:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Dordrecht won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 1.3:2.4).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Roda	12	6	4	2	15:11	4	22
18	Dordrecht	12	3	2	7	16:31	-15	11

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Roda: 5.22% Dordrecht: 0.39%

Last Results with these Odds

Dordrecht - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.06%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dordrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
14.08.26	Waalwijk - Dordrecht	2:2 ✺
07.08.26	Dordrecht - Jong Ajax	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Dordrecht - Anderlecht U23	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	Dordrecht - Lusail City	5:0 ✺
14.07.26	Dordrecht - Borussia Dortmund II	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWLW?
- Roda JC
Dutch Eerste Divisie
14.08.26	Roda - Helmond Sport	2:1 ✺
07.08.26	Emmen - Roda	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Roda - Alemannia Aachen	2:4 ✺
10.07.26	Cambuur - Roda	2:1 ✺
03.07.26	Vitesse - Roda	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
03.04.26	Dordrecht - Roda	0:3
25.11.25	Roda - Dordrecht	1:2
14.02.25	Dordrecht - Roda	2:1
13.12.24	Roda - Dordrecht	0:1
09.02.24	Roda - Dordrecht	4:1
01.12.23	Dordrecht - Roda	2:0
27.01.23	Roda - Dordrecht	1:0

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