Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 33

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch (Utrecht)

Referee: Kuipers J. (Ned)


	Jong Utrecht		Dordrecht

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.5	2.3
	2.82	3.45	2.32	Watch
	2.92	3.6	2.36
	2.59	3.62	2.49	Watch
	2.63	3.4	2.38
	2.81	3.52	2.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.44)	3.52 ↓ (3.86)	2.36 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jong Utrecht
33.8%

Draw
26.6%

Dordrecht
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

24.2%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

23.6%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Dordrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Utrecht than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jong Utrecht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Jong Utrecht - Dordrecht Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Jong Utrecht will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Dordrecht will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gadellaa K. (G) 2. van der Wegen S. 3. Kooy W. 14. Kloosterboer P. (C) 5. van Riel J. 8. Dundas N. 10. den Boggende T. 6. Viereck N. 7. Jensen M. 9. El Arguioui R. 11. Demircan E.	63. Biai C. (G) 3. Valk S. (C) 15. M'Bemba Y. 25. Plug J. 2. van Aken J. 16. Bae S. 22. Darelas A. 6. van Vianen D. 29. Rossi N. 18. van Asten R. 7. Venema N.
Substitutes
12. Beulens N. 20. de Vos N. 19. Ebite S. 21. Edhart L. 31. Eversen J. (G) 17. Goes K. 16. Iqbal Z. 32. Oladipo L. (G) 18. Sneijder J. 13. van den Boogaard B.	11. Afaker M. 17. Alassani Y. 9. Carrillo S. 28. Codutti L. 1. Coremans T. (G) 24. Huitzing G. 13. Kroll B. (G) 5. Mica Pinto 8. Sunderland L. 10. van der Sluijs J. 21. Vetkal M. 23. Woudenberg L.
Coaches
Otten M.	Kuyt D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, den Boggende T. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, El Arguioui R. ⚽,
36', van Vianen D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Darelas A. ↓, Vetkal M. ↑,
46', van Aken J. ↓, Mica Pinto ↑,
58', 3 - 0, den Boggende T. ⚽,
60', van Asten R. 🟨,
62', den Boggende T. 🟨,
63', Bae S. ↓, Sunderland L. ↑,
69', van Asten R. ↓, Carrillo S. ↑,
74', den Boggende T. ↓, Iqbal Z. ↑,
74', van Riel J. ↓, Beulens N. ↑,
76', 3 - 1, Venema N. ⚽, Rossi N. (A),
81', Plug J. 🟨,
81', Demircan E. ↓, Edhart L. ↑,
82', Venema N. 🟨,
84', Jensen M. 🟨,
87', van der Wegen S. ↓, van den Boogaard B. ↑,
88', El Arguioui R. ↓, Ebite S. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Utrecht won 2.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Dordrecht: Hilton J. (Knee Injury) Venema N. (Yellow Cards) Yoon D. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Dordrecht: Artic T. (Shoulder Injury) Hardley B. (Muscle Injury) Malasomma M. (Knee Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Jong Utrecht won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:31. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Jong Utrecht won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.2:1.3).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Dordrecht: 0.65% Jong Utrecht: 0.31%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Dordrecht	10	2	2	6	13:27	-14	8
20	Jong Utrecht	10	2	1	7	16:23	-7	7

Last Results with these Odds

Jong Utrecht - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.28%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Dordrecht - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.52%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jong Utrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.03.26	ADO Den Haag - Jong Utrecht	1:0 ✺
13.03.26	Jong Utrecht - Helmond Sport	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Cambuur - Jong Utrecht	1:0 ✺
02.03.26	Emmen - Jong Utrecht	1:0 ✺
27.02.26	Jong Utrecht - Almere City	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL
- FC Dordrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.03.26	Dordrecht - FC Oss	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	De Graafschap - Dordrecht	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Dordrecht - MVV Maastricht	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	Jong PSV - Dordrecht	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Dordrecht - Jong Ajax	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
28.11.25	Dordrecht - Jong Utrecht	1:2
02.05.25	Jong Utrecht - Dordrecht	1:0
25.10.24	Dordrecht - Jong Utrecht	3:1
10.05.24	Jong Utrecht - Dordrecht	1:1
15.09.23	Dordrecht - Jong Utrecht	3:3
16.01.23	Jong Utrecht - Dordrecht	0:1
19.08.22	Dordrecht - Jong Utrecht	2:1

Jong Utrecht - Dordrecht: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide