The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Roda 55%
Draw 24.6%
Jong AZ Alkmaar 20.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.7%
23.3%
22%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.9%
20.4%
25.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Roda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roda than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roda that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
Roda - Jong AZ Alkmaar Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Roda will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Jong AZ will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Roda: 46.4% โ 99%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Roda (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Treichel J. (G) 22. Kruiver J. 28. Foss J. 3. Tol M. 5. Jansen K. 4. Nisbet J. 8. Muller J. P. 11. Griffith I. 24. Deom J. 7. Seedorf C. 9. van den Hurk A. (C)
16. Zeggen K. (G) 2. Zwart J. 14. Natali A. 23. van Duijl B. 8. Budko B. 15. Boogaard K. 6. Twisk N. (C) 10. van den Ban Y. 7. Hartog J. 60. van Duijn S. 17. Toppenberg K.
Substitutes
15. Beerten L. 14. Breij M. 16. Cooper-Love J. 26. El Meliani R. 35. Janssen F. 17. Lajud Martinez D. 20. Leijten R. 34. Maiorano L. 23. Steins J. (G) 29. Takidine I. 2. Timmermans J. 21. Zich B. (G)
. Atikallah R. 3. Menu M. 12. Robbemond R. . Schilder K. (G) . Schipper J. (G) 19. Smits A. 18. van der Klaauw D.
Coaches
van Dessel K.
Echteld L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
38', Deom J. 🟨,
42', Deom J. ↓, Breij M. ↑,
45', 0 - 1, Budko B. ⚽, Boogaard K. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
62', 0 - 2, Twisk N. ⚽, Budko B. (A),
63', Budko B. ↓, Atikallah R. ↑,
63', van Duijn S. ↓, Smits A. ↑,
67', Menu M. 🟨,
69', van den Hurk A. ↓, Cooper-Love J. ↑,
69', Jansen K. ↓, Beerten L. ↑,
69', Griffith I. ↓, Maiorano L. ↑,
74', van den Ban Y. ↓, Robbemond R. ↑,
76', Foss J. ↓, Janssen F. ↑,
81', Toppenberg K. 🟨,
82', 1 - 2, Cooper-Love J. ⚽,
84', Robbemond R. 🟨,
88', Toppenberg K. ↓, van der Klaauw D. ↑,
88', Hartog J. ↓, Menu M. ↑,
88', 1 - 3, Boogaard K. ⚽, Robbemond R. (A),
90+1', 2 - 3, Breij M. ⚽,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roda won 2.
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
In this match, Roda is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Roda: Kother T.
(Knee Injury)
Paulissen M.
(Knee Injury)
Schwirten J.
(Knee Injury)
Van den Buijs D.
(Calf Injury)
There will not play in Jong AZ: Adjedj E.
(Red Card)
Kasius D.
(Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Roda won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:21. (average 1.7:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Roda won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:11. (average 2.6:1.6).
Netherlands
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Treichel J. (G) 
Kruiver J. 
Foss J. 
Nisbet J. 
Deom J. 
van den Hurk A. (C) 
Natali A. 
Budko B. 
Cooper-Love J. 
Lajud Martinez D. 
Maiorano L. 
