The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Roda 55.4%
Draw 22.2%
Jong AZ Alkmaar 22.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52.5%
22.4%
25.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.5%
22%
24.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Roda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roda than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Roda - Jong AZ Alkmaar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 8th in the Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roda won 0.
Roda is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Jong AZ have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Roda may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Roda for this game.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Roda has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:26 (averaging 1.6:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Roda against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 20:14 goals (averaging 2.5:1.8 per game).
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