Match Info

KNVB Beker - 1/32-finals

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Parkstad Limburg Stadion (Kerkrade) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)


	Roda		De Graafschap

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.80	3.70	Watch
	1.80	3.60	3.50
	1.87	3.80	3.75	Watch
	1.90	3.87	3.89
	2.08	3.52	3.11	Watch
	1.76	3.80	3.80
	1.86	3.82	3.71
	1.86	3.85	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.8)	3.76 ↑ (3.5)	3.66 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roda
49.8%

Draw
24.8%

De Graafschap
25.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.1%

25.8%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

24.9%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Roda - De Graafschap Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Roda will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Graafschap will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Roda (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Treichel J. (G) 3. Tol M. 33. Van den Buijs D. 15. Beerten L. 17. Peixoto G. 24. Deom J. 4. Nisbet J. 25. Marsman B. 8. Mensah J. 9. van den Hurk A. (C) 7. Seedorf C.	22. Reverson P. (G) 2. Wieckhoff J. 3. Besselink R. 4. Hardeman J. (C) 14. Bolk G. 21. Symons K. 8. Warmerdam D. 27. Ahmeti N. 17. Kaninda N. 9. Kania J. 11. Mero T.
Substitutes
20. Bentoumi M. 19. Crabu N. 5. Jansen K. 32. Maoujoudi N. 6. Paulissen M. 10. Schenten F. 26. Sleegers J. 21. Stojcevic M. (G) 28. van Damme J. (G) 14. van den Berg X. 27. Van Mieghem K. 2. Verheij L.	23. Diemers M. 18. Eijken D. 34. Hartgers N. 33. Jonkers R. (G) 15. Kok T. 40. Kwint K. 6. Leemans C. 16. Martens N. 37. Meijles T. 25. Pabai M. 7. van Zijl B. 1. Wieggers T. (G)
Coaches
Penders R.	Duivenvoorden T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Symons K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Seedorf C. ↓, Sleegers J. ↑,
46', Beerten L. ↓, Verheij L. ↑,
55', Wieckhoff J. 🟨,
60', Symons K. ↓, Martens N. ↑,
60', Wieckhoff J. ↓, Kok T. ↑,
68', Mensah J. ↓, Paulissen M. ↑,
69', van den Hurk A. ↓, Schenten F. ↑,
70', Ahmeti N. 🟨,
71', Ahmeti N. ↓, Diemers M. ↑,
82', Van den Buijs D. ↓, Bentoumi M. ↑,
84', 1 - 0, Bentoumi M. ⚽,
86', Kania J. ↓, Kwint K. ↑,
86', Kaninda N. ↓, van Zijl B. ↑,
90', Bolk G. 🟨,
90+5', Besselink R. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roda won 2.

Roda is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Graafschap have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Roda holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Roda has recorded 9 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:31 (averaging 1.5:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Roda against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 18:13 goals (averaging 1.8:1.3 per game).

Outrights of Dutch KNVB Beker for now

De Graafschap: 0.7% Roda: 0.67%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roda JC
Dutch Eerste Divisie
23.10.26	Almere City - Roda	2:3 ✺
19.10.26	Jong Utrecht - Roda	1:2 ✺
09.10.26	Roda - Jong PSV	1:1 ✺
04.10.26	VVV-Venlo - Roda	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Roda - Waalwijk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWTLW
- De Graafschap
Dutch Eerste Divisie
23.10.26	De Graafschap - Waalwijk	1:1 ✺
19.10.26	Jong Ajax - De Graafschap	2:1 ✺
09.10.26	De Graafschap - Jong Utrecht	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	FC Eindhoven - De Graafschap	2:2 ✺
27.09.26	De Graafschap - Den Bosch	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
12.12.25	De Graafschap - Roda	2:3
15.08.25	Roda - De Graafschap	1:0
06.04.25	De Graafschap - Roda	2:0
01.09.24	Roda - De Graafschap	1:4
19.04.24	Roda - De Graafschap	1:1
29.09.23	De Graafschap - Roda	0:0
19.02.23	De Graafschap - Roda	2:0

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