Match Info

National League South - Round 36

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Meadowbank (Dorking)


	Dorking Wanderers		Chesham United

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.85	4.75
	1.67	3.83	4.9
	1.63	4.05	4.82	Watch
	1.67	3.6	4.75
	1.61	3.66	4.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.62)	3.8 ↓ (4.02)	4.82 ↑ (4.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorking Wanderers
56.4%

Draw
24.4%

Chesham United
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

23.1%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

22.1%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorking Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Chesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Dorking Wanderers - Chesham United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dorking (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 0 - 1, Bennetts J. ⚽,
60', 1 - 1, Prior J. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League and 8).

Dorking is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chesham is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Dorking is the team to beat.

We predict that Dorking will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dorking won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Dorking won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Outrights of English National League South for now

Chesham: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Dorking	10	4	4	2	22:16	6	16
19	Chesham	10	3	1	6	16:19	-3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorking Wanderers
English National League South
24.02.26	Eastbourne Borough - Dorking Wanderers	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Maidstone United - Dorking Wanderers	1:1 ✺
17.02.26	Dorking Wanderers - Hornchurch	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Dorking Wanderers - Farnborough	5:3 ✺
10.02.26	Dorking Wanderers - Dover Athletic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTWWW
- Chesham United
English National League South
24.02.26	Chesham United - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Chesham United - Ebbsfleet United	4:1 ✺
17.02.26	Chesham United - Eastbourne Borough	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Salisbury - Chesham United	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Chippenham Town - Chesham United	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
29.11.25	Chesham United - Dorking Wanderers	2:1
26.04.25	Dorking Wanderers - Chesham United	2:0
21.12.24	Chesham United - Dorking Wanderers	0:5

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