Match Info

National League South - Round 26

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Meadowbank (Dorking)


	Dorking Wanderers		Hornchurch

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.55	3.65
	1.85	3.63	4.01
	1.84	3.7	3.89	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.9
	1.79	3.5	4.03
	1.81	3.6	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.01)	3.56 ↑ (3.55)	3.88 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorking Wanderers
50.3%

Draw
25.9%

Hornchurch
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

25.5%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

25.3%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorking Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dorking Wanderers's performance.

Hornchurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hornchurch might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hornchurch could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dorking Wanderers - Hornchurch Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 1 - 0, Vincent F. ⚽,

Preview

Postponed due to FA Trophy.

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Dorking is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hornchurch has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hornchurch may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Dorking could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorking won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Dorking won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 3:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Dorking	10	4	4	2	22:16	6	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorking Wanderers
English National League South
14.02.26	Dorking Wanderers - Farnborough	5:3 ✺
10.02.26	Dorking Wanderers - Dover Athletic	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Dorking Wanderers - Salisbury	3:0 ✺
24.01.26	Dorking Wanderers - Chippenham Town	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Dorking Wanderers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWW
- AFC Hornchurch
English National League South
14.02.26	Hornchurch - Tonbridge Angels	3:2 ✺
07.02.26	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Hornchurch	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Hornchurch - Torquay United	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Weston-super-Mare - Hornchurch	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
20.01.26	Hornchurch - AFC Telford United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
02.09.25	Hornchurch - Dorking Wanderers	1:0
25.01.25	Hornchurch - Dorking Wanderers	0:1
05.10.24	Dorking Wanderers - Hornchurch	3:1
English Isthmian League Premier Division
05.01.19	Hornchurch - Dorking Wanderers	1:1
15.09.18	Dorking Wanderers - Hornchurch	3:3

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