Match Info

National League South - Round 19

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Meadowbank (Dorking)


	Dorking Wanderers		Eastbourne Borough

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.15	4.45
	1.61	4.68	4.34
	1.61	4.57	4.34	Watch
	1.57	4	4.4
	1.58	4.05	4.56
	1.55	4.25	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.52)	4.28 ↑ (4.2)	4.47 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorking Wanderers
58%

Draw
21.5%

Eastbourne Borough
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

21.7%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

21.2%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorking Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Eastbourne Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastbourne Borough than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Dorking Wanderers - Eastbourne Borough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Carter C. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
63', 2 - 0, Pybus D. ⚽,
72', 2 - 1, Phipps H. ⚽,
77', 3 - 1, Carter C. ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 2, Davis J. ⚽,
90+5', 4 - 2, Carter C. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorking won 2.

Dorking has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Eastbourne's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Dorking is considered a favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Dorking won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:16. (average 2.7:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Dorking won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 3:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorking Wanderers
English National League South
29.11.25	Chesham United - Dorking Wanderers	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Dorking Wanderers - Maidstone United	3:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Dorking Wanderers - Eastbourne Borough	3:2 ✺
English National League South
08.11.25	Farnborough - Dorking Wanderers	2:0 ✺
04.11.25	Dorking Wanderers - Enfield Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWLW
- Eastbourne Borough
English National League South
29.11.25	Eastbourne Borough - Hampton & Richmond Borough	6:0 ✺
22.11.25	Torquay United - Eastbourne Borough	7:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Dorking Wanderers - Eastbourne Borough	3:2 ✺
English National League South
11.11.25	Eastbourne Borough - Chippenham Town	2:2 ✺
08.11.25	Eastbourne Borough - Weston-super-Mare	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Dorking Wanderers - Eastbourne Borough	3:2
English National League South
29.03.25	Dorking Wanderers - Eastbourne Borough	3:1
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Dorking Wanderers - Eastbourne Borough	1:2 penalties
English National League South
31.08.24	Eastbourne Borough - Dorking Wanderers	2:2
15.03.22	Eastbourne Borough - Dorking Wanderers	3:2
26.10.21	Dorking Wanderers - Eastbourne Borough	4:3
06.10.20	Eastbourne Borough - Dorking Wanderers	0:3

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