Match Info

National League South - Round 17

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Farnborough		Dorking Wanderers

	1	X	2
	4.05	3.95	1.68
	4.01	4.34	1.7
	3.03	3.71	2.09	Watch
	4.19	3.87	1.74
	3	3.5	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↑ (3.03)	3.87 ↑ (3.71)	1.87 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farnborough
25.6%

Draw
24.2%

Dorking Wanderers
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

25%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

24.7%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farnborough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Dorking Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dorking Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farnborough than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dorking Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Farnborough - Dorking Wanderers Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Poleon D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+8', 2 - 0, Bingham R. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Farnborough is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dorking is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Dorking may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Dorking could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Farnborough won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 2.3:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Farnborough won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 2.5:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farnborough
English National League South
05.11.25	Farnborough - Torquay United	1:3 ✺
01.11.25	Dagenham & Redbridge - Farnborough	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Farnborough - Maidenhead United	1:0 ✺
21.10.25	Salisbury - Farnborough	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Farnborough - Maidstone United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTWLL
- Dorking Wanderers
English National League South
04.11.25	Dorking Wanderers - Enfield Town	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Salisbury - Dorking Wanderers	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Dorking Wanderers - Maidenhead United	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Dorking Wanderers - Torquay United	3:1 ✺
21.10.25	Dover Athletic - Dorking Wanderers	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
22.02.25	Dorking Wanderers - Farnborough	2:2
02.11.24	Farnborough - Dorking Wanderers	3:4
Club Friendly
28.07.23	Farnborough - Dorking Wanderers	2:2
09.07.22	Dorking Wanderers - Farnborough	5:2

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