Match Info

National League South - Round 41

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Meadowbank (Dorking)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Dorking Wanderers		Hemel Hempstead Town

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.55	3.15
	2.01	3.8	3.3
	1.98	3.93	3.22	Watch
	2	3.5	3.2
	1.95	3.55	3.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.83)	3.67 ↓ (3.8)	3.23 ↓ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorking Wanderers
46.3%

Draw
25.2%

Hemel Hempstead Town
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

24.5%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

26.4%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorking Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Hemel Hempstead Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dorking Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hemel Hempstead Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dorking Wanderers - Hemel Hempstead Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Campbell R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', 1 - 1, McCallum P. ⚽,
84', 2 - 1, Prior J. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorking won 3.

Dorking has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hemel Hempstead is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Hemel Hempstead may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Dorking is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Dorking won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:12. (average 2.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Dorking won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2.5:1.3).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Hemel Hempstead: 2.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Dorking	10	4	4	2	22:16	6	16
12	Hemel Hempstead	10	3	4	3	10:10	0	13

Last Results with these Odds

Dorking Wanderers - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.81%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorking Wanderers
English National League South
24.03.26	Torquay United - Dorking Wanderers	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Maidenhead United - Dorking Wanderers	2:0 ✺
17.03.26	Enfield Town - Dorking Wanderers	2:4 ✺
14.03.26	Dorking Wanderers - Ebbsfleet United	3:1 ✺
10.03.26	Dorking Wanderers - Chelmsford City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLWWT
- Hemel Hempstead Town
English National League South
24.03.26	Bath City - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:3 ✺
21.03.26	Hornchurch - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Totton	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Chippenham Town	3:2 ✺
07.03.26	Farnborough - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
23.08.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Dorking Wanderers	2:0
25.11.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Dorking Wanderers	1:7
12.10.24	Dorking Wanderers - Hemel Hempstead Town	3:2
12.03.22	Dorking Wanderers - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:1
06.11.21	Hemel Hempstead Town - Dorking Wanderers	2:2
06.02.21	Hemel Hempstead Town - Dorking Wanderers	1:3
09.01.21	Dorking Wanderers - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:1

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