Match Info

National League South - Round 14

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Dorking Wanderers		Hemel Hempstead Town

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.50	3.40
	1.83	3.50	3.50
	1.90	3.89	3.62
	1.89	3.88	3.52	Watch
	1.86	3.80	3.55
	1.93	3.79	3.48
	1.89	3.50	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.83)	3.69 ↑ (3.5)	3.47 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorking Wanderers
48.8%

Draw
24.8%

Hemel Hempstead Town
26.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.9%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorking Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Hemel Hempstead Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Dorking Wanderers - Hemel Hempstead Town Predictions

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Dorking (1.85) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
18', 1 - 0, Rutherford A. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Williams G. ⚽,
45+8', 1 - 2, Williams G. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
74', 2 - 2, Rogalski D. ⚽,
82', 2 - 3, Grenn J. ⚽,
89', 3 - 3, Rutherford A. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 8th and 16th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorking won 4.

Dorking is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Hemel Hempstead is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Recently, Hemel Hempstead has had a run of games away from home.

Dorking is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Dorking has recorded 7 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:13 (averaging 2.4:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Dorking against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 12:6 goals (averaging 2.4:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Dorking	13	5	6	2	29:21	8	21
17	Hemel Hempstead	14	3	6	5	14:17	-3	15

Outrights of English National League South for now

Hemel Hempstead: 0.75%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorking Wanderers
English National League South
24.10.26	Slough Town - Dorking Wanderers	1:3 ✺
English FA Cup
17.10.26	Dover Athletic - Dorking Wanderers	3:2 ✺
English National League South
10.10.26	Dover Athletic - Dorking Wanderers	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Dorking Wanderers - Chatham Town	1:0 ✺
English National League South
26.09.26	Dorking Wanderers - Braintree Town	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLTWW
- Hemel Hempstead Town
English National League South
24.10.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Totton	1:3 ✺
17.10.26	Tonbridge Angels - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:0 ✺
10.10.26	Dagenham & Redbridge - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	Slough Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
22.09.26	Wingate & Finchley - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
28.03.26	Dorking Wanderers - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:1
23.08.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Dorking Wanderers	2:0
25.11.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Dorking Wanderers	1:7
12.10.24	Dorking Wanderers - Hemel Hempstead Town	3:2
12.03.22	Dorking Wanderers - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:1
06.11.21	Hemel Hempstead Town - Dorking Wanderers	2:2
06.02.21	Hemel Hempstead Town - Dorking Wanderers	1:3

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