The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tonbridge Angels 43%
Draw 26.8%
Hemel Hempstead Town 30.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.7%
27.4%
29.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.8%
27.5%
29.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tonbridge Angels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Hemel Hempstead Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tonbridge Angels than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Tonbridge Angels - Hemel Hempstead Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Babajide O. ⚽,
33', Angol L. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 9th and 14th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tonbridge won 1.
Tonbridge is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Hemel Hempstead have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Tonbridge may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Tonbridge holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Tonbridge has recorded 1 win, 5 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:24 (averaging 1:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tonbridge against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 9:12 goals (averaging 1.3:1.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Tonbridge
14
7
3
4
26:14
12
24
17
Hemel Hempstead
14
3
6
5
14:17
-3
15
Outrights of English National League South for now
Tonbridge: 3.56% Hemel Hempstead: 0.75%
Last Results with these Odds
Tonbridge Angels - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 42.67%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.
Hemel Hempstead Town - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 29.89%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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