Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Trophy - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday

Location: RAW Charging Stadium (Oxford)


	Oxford City		Woking

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.25	2.1
	3.13	3.45	2.17
	3.1	3.25	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↓ (3.33)	3.32 ↑ (3.25)	2.14 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford City
29.8%

Draw
27.5%

Woking
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

27.9%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

28%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Woking has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Woking than the current prediction. (+2%)

Oxford City - Woking Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Effiong I. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, McEachran Z. ⚽,
29', 2 - 1, Willcox F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+1', 2 - 2, Effiong I. ⚽,
Penalties (1 - 2)
1, (Pen),
1, Beautyman H. (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, Effiong I. (Pen),
3, Andrews C. (Pen),
3, Andrews J. (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, Kelly-Evans D. (Pen),
5, (Pen),
5, (Pen),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oxford City won 1.

Oxford City is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Woking is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Woking could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Woking will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Oxford City won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:14 (average 1.3:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Oxford City won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:6 (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford City
English National League North
25.02.25	Oxford City - Chester	0:0 ✺
22.02.25	Oxford City - Scunthorpe United	0:0 ✺
18.02.25	King`s Lynn Town - Oxford City	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	Needham Market - Oxford City	4:0 ✺
11.02.25	Peterborough Sports - Oxford City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTLLL
- Woking
English National League
22.02.25	Forest Green Rovers - Woking	1:1 ✺
19.02.25	Woking - Solihull Moors	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Woking - Tamworth	1:1 ✺
11.02.25	Dagenham & Redbridge - Woking	1:2 ✺
08.02.25	York City - Woking	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
06.02.24	Woking - Oxford City	2:0
11.11.23	Oxford City - Woking	3:2
English National League South
12.03.19	Oxford City - Woking	1:2
11.08.18	Woking - Oxford City	3:2
English FA Trophy
06.02.16	Woking - Oxford City	1:0
13.01.15	Woking - Oxford City	2:1
10.01.15	Oxford City - Woking	2:2

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