Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 19

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Gateshead		Dorking Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.25	9
	1.3	5	7.25
	1.3	5.5	8.5
	1.33	5.9	8.3
	1.33	5.77	7.98
	1.33	4.75	6.5
	1.29	5.5	8
	1.32	5.2	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.52)	5.36 ↑ (4.22)	7.82 ↑ (5.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gateshead
70.7%

Draw
17.4%

Dorking Wanderers
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

21.9%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

21.5%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gateshead has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gateshead's performance.

Dorking Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dorking Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gateshead that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (+5%)

Gateshead - Dorking Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mair A. (G) 3. Booty R. 23. Chadwick B. 8. Francis E. 18. Grayson J. 28. Lofthouse K. 21. McBride C. 10. Olley G. 5. Richardson K. 6. Storey L. 11. Wearne S.	1. Male H. (G) 15. Cook J. 37. Francomb G. 20. Gallagher D. 6. McManus N. 11. McShane J. 18. Moore L. 7. Muitt J. 24. Ottaway H. 4. Pybus D. 17. Taylor J.
Substitutes
7. Allan T. 19. Hannant L. 15. Hunter J. 16. Rutledge A. 4. Whelan C.	5. Craig T. 12. Kennedy C. 9. Prior J. 10. Rutherford A. 32. Saunders J.

Preview

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Gateshead is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gateshead won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Gateshead won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gateshead
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Yeovil Town - Gateshead	3:2 ✺
English National League
28.10.23	Gateshead - Fylde	0:4 ✺
24.10.23	Rochdale - Gateshead	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
14.10.23	Stourbridge - Gateshead	0:3 ✺
English National League
07.10.23	Gateshead - Altrincham	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTWL
- Dorking Wanderers
English National League
04.11.23	Dorking Wanderers - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:3 ✺
28.10.23	Dorking Wanderers - Aldershot Town	2:1 ✺
24.10.23	Bromley - Dorking Wanderers	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
14.10.23	Horsham - Dorking Wanderers	2:0 ✺
English National League
07.10.23	Dorking Wanderers - Barnet	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
18.04.23	Gateshead - Dorking Wanderers	0:0
20.08.22	Dorking Wanderers - Gateshead	2:1

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