Match Info

National League South - Round 43

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday

Location: Meadowbank (Dorking)


	Dorking Wanderers		Worthing

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.6	2.25
	2.45	3.9	2.35
	2.44	3.99	2.48
	2.45	3.95	2.45	Watch
	2.45	3.7	2.45
	2.38	3.72	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.64)	3.81 ↑ (3.67)	2.39 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Dorking Wanderers
37.5%

Draw
24.1%

Worthing
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

25.3%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

25%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorking Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Worthing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Dorking Wanderers - Worthing Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 1 - 0, Carter C. ⚽,
61', 1 - 1, Coleman De-Graft R. ⚽,
86', 1 - 2, Moulton R. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorking won 2.

Recent performances by Dorking have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Worthing is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Dorking has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Dorking won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 2.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Dorking won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Dorking	10	4	4	2	22:16	6	16

Last Results with these Odds

Worthing - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.52%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorking Wanderers
English National League South
03.04.26	Horsham - Dorking Wanderers	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Dorking Wanderers - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:1 ✺
24.03.26	Torquay United - Dorking Wanderers	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Maidenhead United - Dorking Wanderers	2:0 ✺
17.03.26	Enfield Town - Dorking Wanderers	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWTLW
- Worthing FC
English National League South
03.04.26	Worthing - Eastbourne Borough	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Enfield Town - Worthing	1:1 ✺
24.03.26	Weston-super-Mare - Worthing	2:3 ✺
21.03.26	Totton - Worthing	0:3 ✺
14.03.26	Worthing - Chelmsford City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
30.12.25	Worthing - Dorking Wanderers	3:2
21.04.25	Worthing - Dorking Wanderers	1:1
26.12.24	Dorking Wanderers - Worthing	1:2
English FA Trophy
27.11.21	Worthing - Dorking Wanderers	0:2
English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.04.19	Dorking Wanderers - Worthing	3:0
15.01.19	Worthing - Dorking Wanderers	1:4
07.11.17	Worthing - Dorking Wanderers	3:1

Upcoming Matches