The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Worthing 44.2%
Draw 25.4%
Chelmsford City 30.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.5%
24.5%
27%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.9%
24.7%
26.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Worthing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Chelmsford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Worthing - Chelmsford City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Nadesan A. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Jenks T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Worthing won 3.
Worthing has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Chelmsford is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Worthing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Worthing will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Worthing won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 1.4:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Worthing won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).
Outrights of English National League South for now