Match Info

National League South - Round 40

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Totton		Worthing

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.9	1.6
	3.8	3.85	1.75
	3.92	4.01	1.74
	3.92	4.1	1.75	Watch
	4	3.7	1.75
	4.04	3.84	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↑ (3.88)	3.9 ↓ (4.16)	1.71 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Totton
23%

Draw
23.5%

Worthing
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

22.3%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

21.9%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Totton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Worthing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Totton than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Totton - Worthing Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Jenks T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 0 - 2, Makowski W. ⚽,
65', 0 - 3, Jenks T. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Worthing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Totton has had a series of away games.

In this match, Worthing is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Totton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Outrights of English National League South for now

AFC Totton: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	AFC Totton	10	3	1	6	8:16	-8	10

Last Results with these Odds

Worthing - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.71%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Totton
English National League South
17.03.26	Chesham United - Totton	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Totton	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Weston-super-Mare - Totton	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Totton - Horsham	3:0 ✺
03.03.26	Maidenhead United - Totton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLLWL
- Worthing FC
English National League South
14.03.26	Worthing - Chelmsford City	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Worthing - Maidenhead United	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Tonbridge Angels - Worthing	1:0 ✺
03.03.26	Worthing - Chesham United	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Hornchurch - Worthing	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
11.11.25	Worthing - Totton	4:0

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