Match Info

National League - Round 38

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground (Aldershot)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	DAZN
Argentina	DAZN
Australia	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belarus	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Colombia	DAZN
Croatia	DAZN
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	DAZN
Hong-kong	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN
India	DAZN
Indonesia	DAZN
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	DAZN
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
Malaysia	DAZN
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	DAZN
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN
Paraguay	DAZN
Philippines	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	DAZN
Russia	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovenia	DAZN
South-africa	DAZN
South-korea	DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Ukraine	DAZN
United-arab-emirates	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	DAZN
Venezuela	DAZN
Vietnam	DAZN


	Aldershot Town		York City

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.5	1.53
	4.75	4.55	1.55
	5.41	4.69	1.52
	3.86	4.29	1.73	Watch
	4.6	4.4	1.53
	4.82	4.56	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.7 ↑ (4.44)	4.5 ↑ (4.24)	1.57 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldershot Town
19.9%

Draw
20.7%

York City
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

21.8%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

21.4%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldershot Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for York City than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Aldershot Town - York City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Boyce-Clarke C. (G) 19. Hill R. (C) 25. Nightingale W. 15. Grogan C. 22. Scott O. 14. Meerholz J. 24. Warren C. 31. Sheckleford R. 7. Hargreaves C. 11. Peart B. 6. Widdrington T.	1. Male H. (G) 15. King J. 4. Fagan-Walcott M. 29. Johnson Z. 3. Kitching M. 8. Hunt A. 21. Boateng H. 9. Stones J. 28. Banks O. 10. Pearce O. (C) 30. Newby A.
Substitutes
12. Anderson K. 10. Barrett J. 16. Nash P. (G) 42. Penney M. 20. Stewart C. 34. Tetek D. 9. Thomas K.	18. Batty D. 14. Brookes B. 12. Grey J. 5. Howe C. 22. Olley G. 31. Sykes-Kenworthy G. (G) 27. Williams M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Banks O. ⚽, Stones J. (A),
40', Sheckleford R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Sheckleford R. ↓, Tetek D. ↑,
46', Hargreaves C. ↓, Thomas K. ↑,
58', Hill R. 🟨,
59', 0 - 2, Newby A. ⚽,
66', Grogan C. ↓, Barrett J. ↑,
71', Nightingale W. 🟨,
72', Newby A. ↓, Brookes B. ↑,
72', Banks O. ↓, Grey J. ↑,
77', Kitching M. ↓, Williams M. ↑,
82', Hunt A. ↓, Batty D. ↑,
83', Pearce O. ↓, Olley G. ↑,
83', 0 - 3, Olley G. ⚽, Stones J. (A),
84', Widdrington T. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
90', Meerholz J. ↓, Penney M. ↑,
90+5', Olley G. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 16 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aldershot won 0.

Aldershot has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

York is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Aldershot may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, York is a strong favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Aldershot won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Aldershot won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Aldershot	13	5	3	5	18:16	2	18

Last Results with these Odds

York City - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.48%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aldershot Town
English National League
10.03.26	Aldershot Town - Carlisle United	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Forest Green Rovers - Aldershot Town	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Aldershot Town - Rochdale	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Braintree Town - Aldershot Town	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Aldershot Town - Scunthorpe United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLLWW
- York City
English National League
07.03.26	York City - Eastleigh	3:1 ✺
03.03.26	Boreham Wood - York City	3:2 ✺
28.02.26	Morecambe - York City	0:1 ✺
24.02.26	Scunthorpe United - York City	0:3 ✺
21.02.26	York City - Halifax Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
29.11.25	York City - Aldershot Town	5:1
12.04.25	York City - Aldershot Town	7:2
21.09.24	Aldershot Town - York City	0:0
16.03.24	York City - Aldershot Town	1:0
19.08.23	Aldershot Town - York City	1:1
22.04.23	York City - Aldershot Town	2:2
22.10.22	Aldershot Town - York City	2:1

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